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Europa League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Shakhtar Donetsk
S T S S T
2–2
Full-time
Marseille
U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shakhtar Donetsk Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,80 xG 1,10
53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Shakhtar Donetsk Marseille
27′
🟨 Leonardo Balerdi
Half-time 0–0
Yukhym Konoplia 🟨
49′
64′
⚽ P. Aubameyang 0–1
J. Clauss
1–1 M. Matviienko ⚽
68′
Y. Nazaryna 🔁
↦ T. Stepanenko
72′
72′
🔁 I. Ndiaye
↦ Luis Henrique
G. Gocholeishvili 🔁
↦ Y. Konoplia
76′
Kevin 🔁
↦ D. Sikan
77′
Oleksandr Zubkov 🟨
78′
90′
⚽ I. Ndiaye 1–2
L. Traoré 🔁
↦ A. Bondarenko
92′
92′
🔁 J. Correa
↦ P. Aubameyang
92′
🔁 B. Meïté
↦ F. Moumbagna
2–2 Eguinaldo ⚽
O. Zubkov
92′
Eguinaldo 🟨
93′
Valeriy Bondar 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
31 D. Riznyk G
26 Y. Konoplia D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matviienko D
16 I. Azarovi D
6 T. Stepanenko M
11 O. Zubkov M
21 A. Bondarenko M
10 H. Sudakov M
7 Eguinaldo M
14 D. Sikan F
Bench (12)
29 Y. Nazaryna
13 G. Gocholeishvili
37 Kevin
2 L. Traoré
1 A. Rudko
77 V. Tsukanov
9 M. Shved
23 Pedrinho
39 Newerton
8 D. Kryskiv
44 Y. Rakitskyi
18 K. Kelsy

Coach: M. Pusic

Marseille

4-3-3
16 Pau López G
7 J. Clauss D
4 S. Gigot D
5 L. Balerdi D
3 Q. Merlin D
19 G. Kondogbia M
8 A. Ounahi M
11 A. Harit M
44 Luis Henrique F
14 F. Moumbagna F
10 P. Aubameyang F
Bench (8)
29 I. Ndiaye
20 J. Correa
18 B. Meïté
99 C. Mbemba
1 S. Ngapandouetnbu
37 E. Soglo
36 Rubén Blanco
39 A. Tunkadi

Coach: G. Gattuso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.