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Conference League
Referee: L Pairetto
Lille
T S U U S
2–1
Full-time
Slovan Bratislava
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Slovan Bratislava
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,45 xG 1,28
67% Possession 33%
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Lille Slovan Bratislava
23′
⚽ A. Čavrić 0–1
Lucas Lovat
25′
ℹ️ Aleksandar Čavrić
VAR: Goal confirmed
Half-time 0–1
Bafodé Diakité 🟨
63′
E. Zhegrova 🔁
↦ A. Ounas
66′
Alexsandro Ribeiro 🔁
↦ B. Diakité
66′
N. Bentaleb 🔁
↦ B. André
66′
1–1 Y. Yazıcı ⚽
R. Cabella
68′
75′
🟨 Juraj Kucka
Nabil Bentaleb 🟨
78′
Rémy Cabella ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
80′
2–1 R. Cabella ⚽
E. Zhegrova
82′
84′
🟥 Lucas Lovat
Ivan Cavaleiro 🔁
↦ J. David
86′
89′
🔁 L. Pauschek
↦ C. Blackman
A. Bouaddi 🔁
↦ A. Gomes
90′
90′
🔁 J. Zmrhal
↦ K. Bajrič
90′
🔁 D. Strelec
↦ K. Savvidīs
94′
🔁 M. Tolić
↦ T. Barseghyan
94′
🔁 M. Abubakari
↦ J. Kankava
95′
🟨 Kevin Wimmer
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lille

4-2-3-1
30 L. Chevalier G
22 Tiago Santos D
18 B. Diakité D
14 S. Umtiti D
5 G. Gudmundsson D
8 A. Gomes M
21 B. André M
11 A. Ounas M
12 Y. Yazıcı M
10 R. Cabella M
9 J. David F
Bench (12)
23 E. Zhegrova
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro
6 N. Bentaleb
17 Ivan Cavaleiro
33 A. Bouaddi
1 V. Mannone
50 M. Ezzarhouni
38 I. Ferrah
39 L. Baret
26 A. Virginius
20 I. Miramón
36 O. Touré

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Slovan Bratislava

3-5-2
82 M. Borjan G
12 K. Bajrič D
4 G. Kashia D
6 K. Wimmer D
28 C. Blackman M
33 J. Kucka M
88 K. Savvidīs M
20 J. Kankava M
36 Lucas Lovat M
11 T. Barseghyan F
77 A. Čavrić F
Bench (12)
25 L. Pauschek
24 M. Tolić
15 M. Abubakari
8 J. Zmrhal
13 D. Strelec
31 M. Trnovský
27 M. Vojtko
23 S. Zuberu
5 R. Križan
35 A. Hrdina
18 N. Marcelli
26 F. Lichý

Coach: V. Weiss

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Pairetto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.