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Conference League
Referee: António Nobre
Ajax
S S S U T
2–2
Full-time
Bodo/Glimt
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Bodo/Glimt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,7
3,5
Scored
2,7
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,22 xG 0,51
62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Ajax Bodo/Glimt
16′
⚽ A. Grønbæk 0–1
J. Hauge
25′
🔁 U. Saltnes
↦ S. Fet
37′
🟨 Brede Moe
Half-time 0–1
B. Sosa 🔁
↦ D. Rensch
46′
46′
🔁 T. Gulliksen
↦ S. Sørli
Carlos Forbs 🔁
↦ C. Akpom
63′
63′
⚽ A. Grønbæk 0–2
B. van den Boomen 🔁
↦ K. Taylor
71′
74′
🔁 N. Žugelj
↦ J. Hauge
74′
🔁 O. Bjørtuft
↦ J. Gundersen
81′
🔁 O. Kapskarmo
↦ A. Grønbæk
Tristan Gooijer 🟨
85′
Jordan Henderson 🟨
87′
90′
ℹ️ Odin Luras Bjortuft
VAR: Card upgrade
91′
🟥 Odin Luras Bjortuft
1–2 B. van den Boomen ⚽
91′
A. Gaaei 🔁
↦ T. Gooijer
92′
J. Rijkhoff 🔁
↦ K. Hlynsson
92′
2–2 S. Berghuis ⚽
97′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ajax

4-4-2
40 D. Ramaj G
47 T. Gooijer D
2 D. Rensch D
37 J. Šutalo D
4 J. Hato D
23 S. Berghuis M
6 J. Henderson M
8 K. Taylor M
38 K. Hlynsson M
10 C. Akpom F
9 B. Brobbey F
Bench (12)
25 B. Sosa
11 Carlos Forbs
21 B. van den Boomen
3 A. Gaaei
19 J. Rijkhoff
13 A. Kaplan
28 K. Fitz-Jim
33 B. Tahirović
18 J. Medić
42 A. Martha
12 J. Gorter
1 G. Rulli

Coach: J. van 't Schip

Bodo/Glimt

4-3-3
24 K. Haug G
5 B. Wembangomo D
18 B. Moe D
16 J. Gundersen D
15 F. Bjørkan D
19 S. Fet M
77 P. Berg M
8 A. Grønbæk M
27 S. Sørli F
26 H. Evjen F
23 J. Hauge F
Bench (12)
14 U. Saltnes
25 T. Gulliksen
99 N. Žugelj
4 O. Bjørtuft
28 O. Kapskarmo
44 M. Brøndbo
10 D. Bassi
30 A. Sørensen
20 F. Sjøvold
6 I. Amundsen
45 I. Sjong
2 M. Lode

Coach: K. Knutsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.