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Bundesliga
Referee: J Spurny
BW Linz
U S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

BW Linz Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 47%
27%
67%
Points per game
1,1
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 44%
40%
47%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match BW Linz 9. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 15 10 3 2 +22 33
2 Sturm Graz 15 10 3 2 +15 33
3 LASK 15 8 4 3 +8 28
4 Hartberg 15 7 4 4 +5 25
5 A. Klagenfurt 15 6 6 3 +0 24
6 Wolfsberger AC 15 6 5 4 +2 23
7 SK Rapid 15 5 6 4 +12 21
8 Austria Vienna 15 5 4 6 +0 19
9 BW Linz 15 4 4 7 -10 16
10 Altach 15 3 4 8 -13 13
11 Tirol 15 2 2 11 -14 8
12 A. Lustenau 15 0 3 12 -27 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Aug -23 Sturm Graz – BW Linz 4–1

Match report

BW Linz Sturm Graz
1–0 S. Seidl ⚽
19′
Half-time 1–1
48′
⚽ T. Horvat 1–1
W. Bøving
54′
🟥 Javier Serrano
S. Feiertag 🔁
↦ Ronivaldo
56′
60′
🔁 O. Kiteishvili
↦ W. Bøving
A. Briedl 🔁
↦ M. Krainz
62′
C. Noß 🔁
↦ S. Seidl
62′
Fabio Strauss 🟨
71′
D. Mitrović 🔁
↦ S. Haudum
80′
81′
🔁 D. Schnegg
↦ A. Dante
81′
🔁 A. Camara
↦ A. Prass
91′
🟨 Dimitri Lavalėe
92′
🔁 S. Włodarczyk
↦ T. Horvat
92′
🔁 N. Geyrhofer
↦ M. Sarkaria
Tobias Koch 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

BW Linz

3-4-3
1 N. Schmid G
27 S. Haudum D
15 M. Maranda D
2 F. Strauß D
14 J. Gölles M
4 M. Krainz M
6 T. Koch M
8 S. Pirkl M
10 P. Mensah F
9 Ronivaldo F
20 S. Seidl F
Bench (7)
18 S. Feiertag
19 A. Briedl
7 C. Noß
5 D. Mitrović
11 R. Hofer
12 A. Lukse
22 F. Windhager

Coach: G. Scheiblehner

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 K. Scherpen G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
6 A. Borković D
44 A. Dante D
24 D. Lavalée M
14 Javi Serrano M
8 A. Prass M
19 T. Horvat M
15 W. Bøving F
11 M. Sarkaria F
Bench (7)
10 O. Kiteishvili
28 D. Schnegg
36 A. Camara
9 S. Włodarczyk
35 N. Geyrhofer
2 M. Johnston
31 L. Marić

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Spurny · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.