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Conference League
Referee: D Bel
Bodo/Glimt
S S S S T
5–2
Full-time
Lugano
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bodo/Glimt Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 10/4 matches
Win Ø 48%
70%
25%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
80%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,27 xG 1,38
48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 20
8 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -23 Lugano – Bodo/Glimt 0–0

Match report

Bodo/Glimt Lugano
1–0 A. Pellegrino ⚽
B. Wembangomo
40′
Faris Pemi Moumbagna 🟨
42′
45′
🟨 Mohamed Haj Mahmoud
Half-time 2–0
2–0 S. Fet ⚽
P. Berg
52′
Amahl Pellegrino 🟨
60′
60′
🟨 Amir Saipi
63′
🟨 Yanis Cimignani
63′
🔁 S. Vladi
↦ Y. Cimignani
64′
🔁 J. Espinoza
↦ A. Arigoni
64′
🔁 R. Macek
↦ H. Mahmoud
3–0 P. Berg ⚽
S. Fet
65′
69′
⚽ Ž. Celar 3–1
A. Hajdari
O. Kapskarmo 🔁
↦ F. Moumbagna
71′
U. Saltnes 🔁
↦ S. Fet
71′
4–1 A. Pellegrino ⚽
A. Grønbæk
78′
T. Gulliksen 🔁
↦ A. Grønbæk
80′
F. Sjøvold 🔁
↦ B. Wembangomo
80′
N. Žugelj 🔁
↦ S. Sørli
80′
Nino Žugelj 🟨
81′
81′
🔁 B. Babic
↦ Ž. Celar
84′
🔁 A. El Wafi
↦ K. Hajrizi
86′
⚽ B. Babic 4–2
J. Espinoza
5–2 O. Kapskarmo ⚽
U. Saltnes
88′
92′
🟨 Shkelqim Vladi
95′
🟨 Albian Hajdari
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Bodo/Glimt

4-3-3
1 J. Faye Lund G
5 B. Wembangomo D
18 B. Moe D
4 O. Bjørtuft D
15 F. Bjørkan D
19 S. Fet M
77 P. Berg M
8 A. Grønbæk M
27 S. Sørli F
29 F. Moumbagna F
7 A. Pellegrino F
Bench (12)
28 O. Kapskarmo
14 U. Saltnes
25 T. Gulliksen
20 F. Sjøvold
99 N. Žugelj
2 M. Lode
44 M. Brøndbo
30 A. Sørensen
45 I. Sjong
22 P. Dahl
10 D. Bassi
6 I. Amundsen

Coach: K. Knutsen

Lugano

4-2-3-1
1 A. Saipi G
34 A. Arigoni D
17 L. Mai D
4 K. Hajrizi D
5 A. Hajdari D
29 H. Mahmoud M
14 J. Sabbatini M
11 R. Steffen M
25 U. Bislimi M
21 Y. Cimignani M
9 Ž. Celar F
Bench (9)
19 S. Vladi
6 J. Espinoza
7 R. Macek
27 B. Babic
22 A. El Wafi
90 S. Deana
41 N. De Queiroz
50 J. Angstmann
99 D. Mina

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Bel · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.