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Conference League
Referee: S Levi
Shamrock Rovers
S T T U S
2–1
Full-time
The New Saints
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shamrock Rovers The New Saints
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Conference League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,68 xG 1,05
57% Possession 43%
23 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Shamrock Rovers The New Saints
14′
⚽ J. Williams 0–1
1–1 J. Kenny ⚽
N. Farrugia
23′
2–1 D. Watts ⚽
D. Burns
38′
Half-time 2–1
G. Burke 🔁
↦ A. McEneff
70′
J. Byrne 🔁
↦ D. Burns
70′
Dan Cleary 🟨
72′
75′
🔁 B. Clark
↦ R. Holden
A. Greene 🔁
↦ J. Kenny
79′
83′
🔁 A. Wilson
↦ J. Williams
D. Nugent 🔁
↦ D. Watts
85′
G. O'Neill 🔁
↦ M. Poom
85′
87′
🟨 Danny Davies
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Shamrock Rovers

3-5-2
1 L. Pöhls G
6 D. Cleary D
4 Roberto Lopes D
5 L. Grace D
21 D. Burns M
7 D. Watts M
19 M. Poom M
8 A. McEneff M
2 J. Honohan M
23 N. Farrugia F
24 J. Kenny F
Bench (10)
10 G. Burke
29 J. Byrne
9 A. Greene
15 D. Nugent
16 G. O'Neill
25 L. Steacy
27 Cory O'Sullivan
34 C. Noonan
41 A. Noonan
18 T. Clarke

Coach: S. Bradley

The New Saints

4-4-2
25 C. Roberts G
7 J. Daniels D
22 D. Davies D
6 J. Bodenham D
10 D. Redmond D
8 R. Brobbel M
21 L. Smith M
14 D. Williams M
17 J. Williams M
9 D. McManus F
18 R. Holden F
Bench (12)
19 B. Clark
28 A. Wilson
33 N. Doforo
2 J. Pask
24 A. Baker
20 S. Bradley
31 B. Woollam
16 H. McGahey
39 T. Jones
11 A. Cieślewicz
30 J. Edwards
27 J. Canavan

Coach: C. Harrison

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.