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Conference League
Referee: S Jablonski
FC Astana
S S T T U
1–3
Full-time
Chelsea
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Astana Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,8
Scored
0,8
2,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 10/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
30%
67%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
2,4
4,3
Scored
1,5
3,5
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

0,27 xG 1,52
31% Possession 69%
6 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 13
1 Blocked shots 5
9 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FC Astana Chelsea
14′
⚽ Marc Guiu 0–1
Pedro Neto
18′
⚽ Marc Guiu 0–2
Aleksa Amanović 🟨
27′
39′
⚽ Renato Veiga 0–3
K. Dewsbury-Hall
1–3 M. Tomasov ⚽
K. Bartolec
45′
Half-time 1–3
B. Osei 🔁
↦ A. Amanović
46′
46′
🔁 A. Ampah
↦ Pedro Neto
67′
🔁 H. Vale
↦ C. Chukwuemeka
R. Karimov 🔁
↦ C. Geoffrey
72′
78′
🔁 S. Mheuka
↦ Marc Guiu
86′
🔁 K. Dyer
↦ S. Rak-Sakyi
N. Gripshi 🔁
↦ M. Tomasov
88′
E. Astanov 🔁
↦ O. Camara
91′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

FC Astana

5-4-1
74 M. Seysen G
2 K. Bartolec D
5 K. Kažukolovas D
22 A. Marochkin D
3 B. Kalaica D
6 Y. Vorogovskiy D
10 M. Tomasov M
7 M. Ebong M
45 A. Amanović M
28 O. Camara M
9 C. Geoffrey F
Bench (12)
19 B. Osei
81 R. Karimov
77 N. Gripshi
21 E. Astanov
8 I. Kuat
15 A. Beysebekov
55 A. Zarutskiy
4 M. Bystrov
97 N. Zhaksylyk
11 N. Ahanonu
93 J. Čondrić
72 S. Basmanov

Coach: G. Babayan

Chelsea

3-3-1-3
12 F. Jørgensen G
34 J. Acheampong D
4 T. Adarabioyo D
2 A. Disasi D
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
51 S. Rak-Sakyi M
40 Renato Veiga M
17 C. Chukwuemeka M
7 Pedro Neto F
38 Marc Guiu F
32 T. George F
Bench (9)
55 A. Ampah
43 H. Vale
76 S. Mheuka
33 K. Dyer
59 H. Murray-Campbell
49 R. Olise
47 L. Bergström
63 K. Wilson
50 M. Merrick

Coach: E. Maresca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.