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Conference League
Referee: R Petrescu
Chelsea
T T S S S
1–0
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/15 matches
Win Ø 68%
89%
47%
Points per game
2,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
78%
60%
Both score Ø 64%
67%
60%
Average goals
4,3
2,8
Scored
3,4
1,7
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+2,6
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,13 xG 0,97
54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Mar -25 FC Copenhagen – Chelsea 1–2

Match report

Chelsea FC Copenhagen
Half-time 0–0
C. Palmer 🔁
↦ E. Fernández
46′
Marc Cucurella 🔁
↦ J. Acheampong
46′
1–0 K. Dewsbury-Hall ⚽
55′
59′
🔁 A. Chiakha
↦ V. Claesson
60′
🔁 J. Larsson
↦ M. Elyounoussi
C. Nkunku 🔁
↦ J. Sancho
65′
Marc Cucurella 🟨
69′
76′
🟨 Elias Achouri
76′
🔁 Robert
↦ E. Achouri
77′
🔁 R. Falk
↦ W. Clem
R. James 🔁
↦ M. Caicedo
79′
83′
🔁 M. Mattsson
↦ V. Froholdt
Tosin Adarabioyo 🟨
85′
G. Antwi 🔁
↦ Pedro Neto
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Chelsea

4-2-3-1
12 F. Jørgensen G
23 T. Chalobah D
4 T. Adarabioyo D
5 B. Badiashile D
34 J. Acheampong D
25 M. Caicedo M
8 E. Fernández M
32 T. George M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
19 J. Sancho M
7 Pedro Neto F
Bench (12)
20 C. Palmer
3 Marc Cucurella
18 C. Nkunku
24 R. James
64 G. Antwi
1 Robert Sánchez
47 L. Bergström
6 L. Colwill
81 R. Walsh
76 S. Mheuka
59 H. Murray-Campbell
39 M. Amougou

Coach: E. Maresca

FC Copenhagen

5-4-1
41 D. Ramaj G
13 R. Huescas D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
2 K. Diks D
6 P. Hatzidiakos D
24 B. Meling D
10 M. Elyounoussi M
36 W. Clem M
17 V. Froholdt M
30 E. Achouri M
7 V. Claesson F
Bench (11)
19 A. Chiakha
11 J. Larsson
16 Robert
33 R. Falk
8 M. Mattsson
1 N. Trott
22 G. Gocholeishvili
31 R. Rúnarsson
12 L. Lerager
4 M. Garan'anga
27 T. Delaney

Coach: J. Neestrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Petrescu · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.