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Conference League
Referee: J H Ellefsen
Kalju Nomme
T U S U T
2–1
Full-time
Shelbourne
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalju Nomme Shelbourne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
4,0
7,0
Scored
1,7
5,0
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Kalju Nomme Shelbourne
14′
⚽ D. Kelly 0–1
Oleksandr Musolitin 🟥
31′
42′
🟨 Daniel Kelly
Half-time 0–1
D. Sotsugov 🔁
↦ D. Mashchenko
46′
46′
🔁 O. Casey
↦ P. Barrett
46′
🔁 W. Jarvis
↦ D. Kelly
46′
🔁 D. Ring
↦ R. Freitas
1–1 E. E. Lotar Eyang ⚽
H. Perk
49′
N. Ivanov 🔁
↦ T. Baptista
62′
I. Jabir 🔁
↦ M. Orlov
62′
63′
🔁 J. Lunney
↦ K. McInroy
A. Nikolajev 🔁
↦ A. Borolinstsikov
67′
73′
🔁 S. Gannon
↦ J. Norris
M. Tambedou 🔁
↦ B. Vastsuk
74′
2–1 I. Jabir ⚽
N. Ivanov
75′
77′
🟨 Jonathan Lunney
Modou Tambedou 🟨
78′
91′
🟨 Daniel Ring
Ibrahim Jabir 🟨
92′
Nikita Ivanov 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kalju Nomme

4-4-2
1 H. Perk G
78 D. Mashchenko D
50 M. Podholjuzin D
46 R. Vukusic D
4 A. Borolinstsikov
26 R. Siht M
8 O. Musolitin M
59 B. Vastsuk M
21 T. Baptista M
11 M. Orlov F
17 E. E. Lotar Eyang M
Bench (10)
69 M. Pavlov
5 U. Korre
7 D. Tarassenkov
10 N. Ivanov
20 M. Tambedou
22 A. Nikolajev
30 I. Jabir
52 Idalecio
74 F. Jekimov
88 D. Sotsugov

Coach: Nikita Andreev

Shelbourne

4-3-3
19 E. Beach G
25 M. Mbeng D
4 K. Ledwidge D
29 P. Barrett D
18 J. Norris D
17 D. Kelly M
23 K. McInroy M
14 A. Coote M
27 E. Caffrey M
20 R. Freitas F
22 S. Moore F
Bench (10)
13 M. Johnson
73 F. Moylan
2 S. Gannon
6 J. Lunney
15 S. Bone
16 O. Casey
36 W. Jarvis
44 D. Ring
55 J. Roche
56 J. Wuna

Coach: Lorcan Fitzgerald

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.