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Conference League
Referee: M Bejtullahu
Ilves
S T U S T
1–0
Full-time
Stjarnan
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ilves Stjarnan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jul -26 Stjarnan – Ilves 1–0

Match report

Ilves Stjarnan
Sebastian Suvanne 🟨
-5′
Oskari Multala 🟨
24′
39′
🟨 Jóhann Árni Gunnarsson
Half-time 0–0
S. Baranov 🔁
↦ O. Multala
46′
G. Bamba 🔁
↦ K. Wallius
46′
1–0 J. Kilo ⚽
J. Kanga
52′
73′
🔁 D. Matthiasson
↦ B. Waren
R. Riski 🔁
↦ J. Kilo
75′
85′
🟨 Gudmundur Baldvin Nokkvason
L. Ala-Myllymaki 🔁
↦ O. Pettersson
85′
91′
🟨 Þorri Mar Þórisson
91′
🔁 B. Hauksson
↦ T. Thorisson
91′
🔁 A. Hauksson
↦ B. Ingason
E. Tamminen 🔁
↦ T. Hytonen
98′
Anton Popovitch 🟨
106′
107′
⚽ F. Krkalic 2–0
own goal
111′
🔁 A. Vilhjalmsson
↦ E. Atlason
111′
🔁 A. Bjarnason
↦ O. Eggertsson
3–0 T. Miettunen ⚽
M. Rale
113′
117′
🟨 Alex Þór Hauksson
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Ilves

3-4-2-1
12 F. Krkalic G
16 T. Miettunen D
5 S. Vaisanen D
3 M. Rale D
4 O. Pettersson
22 O. Multala M
14 A. Popovitch M
13 K. Wallius M
30 J. Kanga M
28 J. Kilo M
9 T. Hytonen F
Bench (12)
1 O. Virtanen
31 R. Leislahti
10 R. Riski
11 H. Coulibaly
15 L. Ala-Myllymaki
17 S. Baranov
19 G. Bamba
20 O. Tiitinen
24 V. Kumpu
25 S. Suvanne
27 F. Kouakou
45 E. Tamminen

Coach: Joni Lehtonen

Stjarnan

4-3-3
12 A. Olafsson
4 T. Thorisson D
5 G. Kristjansson D
3 G. Kjeldsen D
32 O. Orvarsson
18 G. Nokkvason M
8 J. Gunnarsson M
23 B. Waren M
7 O. Eggertsson
22 E. Atlason F
11 B. Ingason M
Bench (12)
6 S. T. Ingimarsson
10 D. Matthiasson
14 B. Hauksson
29 A. Hauksson
94 A. Vilhjalmsson
1 D. Bergmann Gylfason
83 D. Beic
19 A. Leifsson
24 S. Jonsson
25 C. Alexandersson
35 B. Saemundsson
99 A. Bjarnason

Coach: Jokull Elisabetarson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.