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Conference League
Referee: J Goncalves
Derry City
T S T T T
0–1
Full-time
HNK Rijeka
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Derry City HNK Rijeka
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jul -26 HNK Rijeka – Derry City 1–0

Match report

Derry City HNK Rijeka
14′
⚽ D. Adu Adjei 0–1
Nick Twisk 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–1
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster 🟨
46′
J. Clarke 🔁
↦ L. Boyce
46′
B. Cotter 🔁
↦ B. Lyons-Foster
62′
D. Burns 🔁
↦ J. Olayinka
62′
65′
🟨 Ante Majstorović
Cameron Dummigan 🟨
69′
J. Stott 🔁
↦ P. McClean
81′
81′
🔁 J. Lasickas
↦ N. Jankovic
89′
🔁 I. Cubelic
↦ T. Fruk
92′
🔁 G. Grulovic
↦ D. Adu Adjei
Darragh Burns 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Derry City

4-2-3-1
1 B. Maher G
24 B. Lyons-Foster D
23 C. Dummigan D
3 P. McClean D
19 B. Fleming M
28 J. Olayinka M
17 N. Twisk M
8 A. O'Reilly M
14 E. Chapman M
7 M. Duffy M
27 L. Boyce F
Bench (8)
13 T. Norcott
2 B. Cotter
4 J. Stott
12 D. Burns
22 C. Barr
32 T. Doherty
6 R. Slevin
15 J. Clarke

Coach: Tiernan Lynch

HNK Rijeka

4-3-3
99 A. Todorovic G
22 A. Orec D
45 A. Majstorovic D
5 A. Barco M
34 M. Devetak D
6 B. Pavic M
26 T. Dantas M
10 T. Fruk M
14 A. Gojak M
18 D. Adu Adjei F
4 N. Jankovic M
Bench (12)
1 V. Kovac
3 M. Zivkovic
11 G. Rukavina
19 S. Vignato
23 J. Lasickas
51 A. Husic
91 N. Bodetic
31 D. Nwolokor
8 I. Cubelic
15 G. Grulovic
16 V. Vesligaj
37 C. Saho

Coach: Matjaz Kek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Goncalves · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.