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Conference League
Referee: F Verissimo
Beitar Jerusalem
S S T S S
2–3
Full-time
AEK Larnaca
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beitar Jerusalem AEK Larnaca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
1,2
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jul -26 AEK Larnaca – Beitar Jerusalem 0–1

Match report

Beitar Jerusalem AEK Larnaca
26′
⚽ H. Milicevic 0–1
1–1 O. Atzili ⚽
45′
Half-time 1–1
E. Ansah 🔁
↦ J. Kalu
46′
46′
🔁 G. Ekpolo
↦ A. Layouni
Noam Muche 🟨
49′
Brayan Carabalí 🟨
51′
52′
⚽ H. Milicevic 1–2
T. Muzie 🔁
↦ S. Weissman
59′
Yarden Cohen 🟨
67′
Daniel Worko 🟨
69′
69′
🔁 W. Rubio
↦ Miramon
69′
🔁 K. Pileas
↦ Y. Gurfinkel
Z. Ben Shimol 🔁
↦ N. Muche
75′
L. Deri 🔁
↦ Y. Cohen
75′
77′
🔁 Z. Adoni
↦ E. Saborit
2–2 O. Atzili ⚽
N. Antwi
87′
Y. Shua 🔁
↦ O. Atzili
90′
90′
🔁 D. Ivanovic
↦ Ledes Gustavo
90′
⚽ R. Bajic 2–3
94′
🔁 C. Kyriakou
↦ I. Pankov
Yarden Shua 🟨
95′
103′
🟨 Zacharias Adoni
106′
🟨 Godswill Ekpolo
N. Markovitch 🔁
↦ D. Worko
111′
Nana Antwi 🟨
115′
118′
🟨 Hrvoje Miličević
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Beitar Jerusalem

4-3-3
55 Miguel Silva G
2 N. Antwi D
4 B. Carabali D
5 G. Cohen D
16 Y. Cohen D
15 N. Muche M
40 Boris Enow M
26 D. Worko M
77 O. Atzili F
19 S. Weissman F
9 J. Kalu F
Bench (12)
22 Y. Ozer
33 D. Nir
7 Y. Shua
8 Z. Ben Shimol
11 T. Muzie
13 E. Ansah
14 R. Elimelech
20 O. Dahan
24 N. Markovitch
25 L. Deri
30 T. Yosefi
44 L. Gadrani

Coach: Almog Cohen

AEK Larnaca

4-2-3-1
51 A. Paraskevas G
21 Miramon M
15 H. Milicevic D
4 E. Saborit D
13 Y. Gurfinkel D
6 I. Pankov M
7 Ledes Gustavo M
14 A. Layouni M
20 J. Repas M
8 Y. Amyn M
11 R. Bajic F
Bench (10)
1 V. Muftic
99 D. Demetriou
9 D. Ivanovic
10 W. Rubio
17 K. Pileas
22 G. Ekpolo
25 C. Kyriakou
29 G. Naoum
37 D. Gerasimou
44 Z. Adoni

Coach: Mauro Camoranesi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Verissimo · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.