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Conference League
Referee: S Karabaev
Ludogorets
T S S T T
2–2
Full-time
Hapoel Tel Aviv
S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets Hapoel Tel Aviv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jul -26 Hapoel Tel Aviv – Ludogorets 2–0

Match report

Ludogorets Hapoel Tel Aviv
Idan Nachmias 🟨
-5′
16′
⚽ E. Boateng 0–1
O. Altman
Petar Stanić 🟨
22′
22′
🟨 Chico
Son 🟨
24′
Kwadwo Duah ❌
penalty missed
39′
42′
🟨 Xande Silva
Half-time 0–1
A. Camara 🔁
↦ F. Kaloc
46′
47′
🟨 Doron Leidner
1–1 B. Tekpetey ⚽
P. Stanic
47′
53′
🟨 Stav Torial
2–1 A. Salido Tajero ⚽
I. Chochev
54′
55′
🔁 R. Alkoukin
↦ X. Silva
55′
🔁 S. Piven
↦ D. Leidner
58′
⚽ E. Boateng 2–2
Rwan Cruz 🔁
↦ K. Duah
66′
E. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ A. Salido Tajero
66′
S. Shishkov 🔁
↦ Vinicius Nogueira
75′
75′
🔁 D. Dappa
↦ E. Boateng
Anton Nedyalkov 🟨
76′
83′
🔁 Y. Ferber
↦ O. Altman
83′
🔁 A. Lemkin
↦ S. Turiel
E. Bile 🔁
↦ P. Stanic
87′
Rwan Cruz 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ludogorets

4-3-3
39 H. Bonmann G
17 Son D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
15 E. Kurtulus D
27 Vinicius Nogueira D
26 F. Kaloc M
14 P. Stanic M
18 I. Chochev M
37 B. Tekpetey M
9 K. Duah F
7 A. Salido Tajero F
Bench (12)
1 S. Padt
2 J. Andersson
12 Rwan Cruz
20 A. Camara
24 O. Verdon
25 E. Rodriguez
29 E. Bile
40 A. Marinov
42 S. Shishkov
55 I. Nachmias
82 I. Yordanov
99 S. Ivanov

Coach: Thomas Reis

Hapoel Tel Aviv

4-2-3-1
22 A. Tzur
97 M. Coco D
5 F. Mayembo D
4 Chico D
16 D. Leidner D
98 Falcao M
6 A. Kraev M
11 S. Turiel M
51 O. Altman F
10 X. Silva F
9 E. Boateng F
Bench (12)
1 D. Benyamini
33 Y. Bazdog
8 Y. Ferber
14 E. Y. Kancepolsky
15 R. Alkoukin
18 T. Archel
20 O. Israelov
21 S. Piven
23 A. Lemkin
27 M. Buskila
44 D. Dappa
92 O. Gelbard

Coach: Elyaniv Barda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.