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Conference League
Referee: M Ocenas
AZ Alkmaar
S S T T T
2–0
Full-time
Shelbourne
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Shelbourne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/5 matches
Win Ø 54%
67%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
67%
20%
Both score Ø 27%
33%
20%
Average goals
3,6
1,6
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,80 xG 0,27
73% Possession 27%
22 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Shelbourne
15′
🟨 Jack Henry-Francis
25′
🟨 Harry Wood
Dave Kwakman 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
K. Smit 🔁
↦ D. Kwakman
46′
61′
🔁 J. Martin
↦ H. Wood
61′
🔁 E. Caffrey
↦ J. Lunney
M. Chavez Garcia 🔁
↦ E. Dijkstra
65′
I. Jensen 🔁
↦ W. Bouziane
65′
66′
🟨 Paddy Barrett
1–0 M. de Wit ⚽
P. Koopmeiners
70′
76′
🟨 John Martin
M. Sin 🔁
↦ Weslley Patati
77′
77′
🔁 S. Gannon
↦ M. Mbeng
77′
🔁 E. Chapman
↦ J. Henry-Francis
84′
🔁 S. Boyd
↦ M. Odubeko
2–0 I. Jensen ⚽
86′
B. van Duijl 🔁
↦ M. de Wit
91′
Isak Steiner Jensen 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 R. Owusu-Oduro G
22 E. Dijkstra D
3 W. Goes D
5 Penetra D
34 M. de Wit D
6 P. Koopmeiners M
10 S. Mijnans M
21 D. Kwakman M
7 Weslley Patati F
9 T. Parrott F
75 W. Bouziane F
Bench (10)
12 H. Verhulst
41 J. Zoet
4 M. Dekker
11 I. Sadiq
15 M. Chavez Garcia
17 I. Jensen
23 B. van Duijl
25 L. Zeefuik
26 K. Smit
33 M. Sin

Coach: Leeroy Echteld

Shelbourne

5-3-2
13 W. Speel G
25 M. Mbeng D
8 M. Coyle D
29 P. Barrett D
4 K. Ledwidge D
17 D. Kelly D
21 J. Henry-Francis M
6 J. Lunney M
23 K. McInroy
7 H. Wood F
11 M. Odubeko F
Bench (9)
19 L. Healy
50 A. Topcu
2 S. Gannon
3 T. Wilson
5 E. Chapman
9 S. Boyd
10 J. Martin
24 L. Temple
27 E. Caffrey

Coach: Joey O'Brien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Ocenas · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
13,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.