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Europa League
Referee: Manfredas Lukjancukas
Rangers
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Ludogorets
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rangers Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,2
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
0%
38%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
50%
88%
Both score Ø 69%
50%
88%
Average goals
2,3
4,1
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,42 xG 0,97
50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 13
6 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Rangers Ludogorets
1–0 M. Diomande
T. Aasgaard
33′
Half-time 1–0
Youssef Chermiti 🟨
55′
Mikey Moore 🟨
61′
63′
🔁 M. Machado
↦ E. Bile
63′
🔁 B. Tekpetey
↦ Erick Marcus
B. Miovski 🔁
↦ M. Moore
64′
F. Curtis 🔁
↦ Chermiti
73′
73′
🔁 I. Chochev
↦ Pedro Naressi
Emmanuel Fernandez 🟨
81′
Max Aarons 🟨
83′
Nicolas Raskin 🟨
88′
90′
🔁 J. Andersson
↦ Son
90′
🔁 S. Ivanov
↦ Caio Vidal
Findlay Curtis 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Hendrik Bonmann
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rangers

4-3-3
1 J. Butland G
3 M. Aarons D
24 N. Djiga D
37 E. Fernandez D
30 J. Meghoma D
11 T. Aasgaard M
43 N. Raskin M
10 M. Diomande M
47 M. Moore F
9 Chermiti F
23 D. Gassama F
Bench (11)
31 L. Kelly
32 K. Wright
2 J. Tavernier
6 J. Rothwell
18 O. Antman
28 B. Miovski
50 J. Gentles
51 C. Adamson
52 F. Curtis
61 L. Stewart
99 Danilo Pereira

Coach: Danny Rohl

Ludogorets

4-2-3-1
39 H. Bonmann G
17 Son D
24 O. Verdon D
4 D. Almeida D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
30 Pedro Naressi M
23 D. Duarte M
14 P. Stanic M
11 Caio Vidal M
77 Erick Marcus M
29 E. Bile F
Bench (11)
1 S. Padt
67 D. Hristov
2 J. Andersson
10 M. Machado
18 I. Chochev
26 F. Kaloc
37 B. Tekpetey
42 S. Shishkov
55 I. Nachmias
81 G. Penev
99 S. Ivanov

Coach: Per-Mathias Hogmo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.