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OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal
T S T U T
4–1
Full-time
Notodden
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Notodden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 15. · Notodden 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sandefjord 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Aalesund 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Skeid 3 1 2 0 +1 5
4 Ull/Kisa 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Nest-Sotra 3 1 1 1 +1 4
6 Kongsvinger 3 1 1 1 +0 4
7 Start 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Strommen 3 0 3 0 +0 3
9 Sandnes ULF 3 0 3 0 +0 3
10 Raufoss 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Ham-Kam 3 1 0 2 -2 3
12 Jerv 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Notodden 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 KFUM Oslo 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Sogndal 2 0 1 1 -3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Notodden
12′
A. Bakke 0–1
A. Ndour 🔁
↦ J. Soltvedt
31′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 A. Ndour
51′
2–1 A. Ndour
62′
66′
🔁 M. Strange
↦ M. Ledger
72′
🔁 A. Ibrahim
↦ E. Hustad
U. Flo 🔁
↦ P. Steiring
74′
3–1 M. Ramsland
77′
4–1 S. Haugen
82′
O. Sveen 🔁
↦ A. Ndour
83′
86′
🔁 E. Midtgarden
↦ M. Brekke
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Sogndal

1 M. Dyngeland
14 O. Rindarøy
3 P. Steiring
5 U. Fredriksen
2 T. Totland
6 S. Ernemann
8 E. Birkelund
7 E. Schulze
15 J. Soltvedt
11 M. Ramsland
18 S. Haugen
Bench (7)
25 A. Ndour
9 U. Flo
19 O. Sveen
10 A. Adams
21 K. Rutlin
23 S. Mannsverk
24 S. Jensen

Coach: E. Bakke

Notodden

1 J. Johansson
5 S. Jenssen
18 J. Robson
3 C. Borchgrevink
6 M. Ledger
23 G. Salasiwa
11 M. Holmen
8 H. Gustavsen
9 M. Brekke
22 A. Bakke
27 E. Hustad
Bench (7)
4 M. Strange
20 A. Ibrahim
10 E. Midtgarden
12 E. Vasby
21 K. Tøsse
25 S. Hansen
2 E. Johansen

Coach: K. Dokken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.