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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Sandefjord
U U U U U
2–1
Full-time
Stromsgodset
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 16%
8%
24%
Points per game
0,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
40%
56%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 5
8 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandefjord 16. · Stromsgodset 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 25 16 5 4 +23 53
2 Brann 25 14 7 4 +13 49
3 Molde 26 14 5 7 +19 47
4 Haugesund 25 13 5 7 +9 44
5 Ranheim 25 11 5 9 -4 38
6 Odd 25 10 7 8 +8 37
7 Valerenga 25 10 7 8 -2 37
8 Kristiansund 25 9 7 9 +1 34
9 Sarpsborg 08 26 9 6 11 +4 33
10 Tromso 25 10 3 12 -2 33
11 Bodo/Glimt 25 6 9 10 -3 27
12 Stromsgodset 25 6 8 11 -1 26
13 Lillestrom 25 6 8 11 -11 26
14 Start 25 7 5 13 -17 26
15 Stabaek 25 5 9 11 -14 24
16 Sandefjord 25 2 10 13 -23 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Stromsgodset
1–0 M. Ofkir
S. Ringstad
4′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Nguen
↦ A. Pellegrino
E. Mjelde 🔁
↦ P. Engblom
60′
2–0 Rufo Herraiz
W. Kurtović
74′
79′
E. Andersen 2–1
T. Nguen
86′
🔁 A. Hoven
↦ Marcus Pedersen
87′
🟨 Herman Stengel
H. Storbæk 🔁
↦ M. Ofkir
89′
Pau Morer 🔁
↦ Enric Vallès
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sandefjord

4-2-3-1
12 E. Johansen G
17 Marc Vales D
21 S. Ringstad D
13 M. Høibråten D
4 C. Reppesgård
5 Enric Vallès M
7 E. Pálsson M
18 W. Kurtović M
15 P. Engblom F
6 M. Ofkir M
14 Rufo Herraiz F
Bench (7)
8 E. Mjelde
9 H. Storbæk
10 Pau Morer
1 J. Storevik
2 L. Grorud
23 O. Breistøl
11 F. Azemi

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Stromsgodset

4-4-2
40 M. Sætra D
3 J. Parr D
39 L. Sætra
5 J. Glesnes D
17 C. Lindquist D
18 M. Ovenstad M
7 H. Stengel M
23 E. Andersen M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
30 M. Abdellaoue F
90 A. Pellegrino M
Bench (7)
93 T. Nguen
66 A. Hoven
36 H. Duman
2 M. Hamoud
4 K. Madsen
1 E. Pettersen
26 L. Vilsvik

Coach: T. Skullerud

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.