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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez
Real Madrid
U S T U T
1–2
Full-time
Levante
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
38%
75%
Both score Ø 51%
38%
63%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

70% Possession 30%
33 Shots 6
12 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 11
15 Corners 1
4 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Madrid 5. · Levante 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 9 5 2 2 +4 17
2 Sevilla 8 5 1 2 +10 16
3 Barcelona 8 4 3 1 +10 15
4 Ath Madrid 8 4 3 1 +5 15
5 Real Madrid 8 4 2 2 +5 14
6 Espanol 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Valladolid 8 3 3 2 +1 12
8 Betis 8 3 3 2 -1 12
9 Sociedad 8 3 2 3 +1 11
10 Celta 9 2 4 3 +0 10
11 Levante 8 3 1 4 -2 10
12 Eibar 8 3 1 4 -3 10
13 Getafe 8 2 3 3 -1 9
14 Valencia 8 1 6 1 -1 9
15 Girona 8 2 3 3 -3 9
16 Villarreal 8 2 2 4 -1 8
17 Ath Bilbao 7 1 4 2 -4 7
18 Leganes 8 2 1 5 -5 7
19 Vallecano 7 1 2 4 -8 5
20 Huesca 8 1 2 5 -11 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Madrid Levante
6′
José Luis Morales 0–1
Sergio Postigo
13′
Roger Martí 0–2
Half-time 0–2
G. Bale 🔁
↦ Álvaro Odriozola
46′
53′
🟨 Erick Cabaco
K. Benzema 🔁
↦ Isco
60′
Dani Ceballos 🔁
↦ Marco Asensio
60′
67′
🔁 C. Doukouré
↦ Rubén Rochina
1–2 Marcelo
K. Benzema
72′
75′
🔁 Chema
↦ Sergio Postigo
79′
🔁 E. Boateng
↦ Roger Martí
89′
🟨 Jason
Marcelo 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-3-3
25 T. Courtois G
4 Sergio Ramos D
12 Marcelo D
5 R. Varane D
19 Álvaro Odriozola D
10 L. Modrić M
14 Casemiro M
22 Isco M
17 Lucas Vázquez M
20 Marco Asensio M
7 M. Díaz F
Bench (7)
11 G. Bale
9 K. Benzema
24 Dani Ceballos
1 K. Navas
6 Nacho
8 T. Kroos
23 Reguilón

Coach: Lopetegui

Levante

3-1-4-2
13 Oier G
15 Sergio Postigo D
3 Toño M
18 E. Cabaco D
4 Rober D
16 Rubén Rochina M
24 Campaña M
11 José Luis Morales M
10 E. Bardhi M
9 Roger Martí F
23 Jason M
Bench (7)
5 C. Doukouré
6 Chema
21 E. Boateng
7 M. Simon
19 Pedro López
20 R. Dwamena
25 Aitor Fernández

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.