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Pro League
Referee: Jan Boterberg
Antwerp
S S S T S
2–1
Full-time
Lokeren
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 7/10 matches
Win Ø 41%
71%
10%
Points per game
2,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
29%
70%
Both score Ø 45%
29%
60%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
0,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
18 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Antwerp 5. · Lokeren 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 8 6 2 0 +16 20
2 Club Brugge 7 6 1 0 +15 19
3 St Truiden 10 4 5 1 +5 17
4 Anderlecht 6 5 1 0 +10 16
5 Antwerp 7 5 1 1 +6 16
6 Oostende 10 4 2 4 -3 14
7 Gent 6 4 1 1 +7 13
8 Standard 8 3 4 1 +5 13
9 Cercle Brugge 10 3 3 4 -7 12
10 Charleroi 10 3 2 5 -1 11
11 Kortrijk 10 3 2 5 -4 11
12 Beveren 11 1 7 3 -2 10
13 Eupen 10 3 1 6 -9 10
14 Lokeren 10 1 2 7 -12 5
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 1 2 8 -12 5
16 Waregem 10 1 2 7 -14 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Lokeren
1–0 Faris Haroun
Dieumerci Mbokani
40′
44′
🔁 Ari Freyr Skúlason
↦ Geoffrey Bia
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 Bambo Diaby
Ivo Rodrigues 🟨
56′
63′
🟨 Killian Overmeire
Geoffry Hairemans 🔁
↦ Ivo Rodrigues
70′
74′
Steve De Ridder 1–1
Marko Miric
78′
🟨 Killian Overmeire
78′
🟥 Killian Overmeire
Amara Baby 🔁
↦ Didier Lamkel Ze
78′
Jonathan Bolingi 🔁
↦ William Owusu
80′
81′
🔁 Joher Khadim Rassoul
↦ Jose Francisco Cevallos
2–1 Lior Refaelov
Dieumerci Mbokani
83′
87′
🟨 Steve De Ridder
Lior Refaelov 🟨
90′
Amara Baby 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
1 Sinan Bolat G
30 Aurelio Buta D
15 Dino Arslanagic D
37 Jelle Van Damme D
6 Simen Juklerod D
38 Faris Haroun M
20 Didier Lamkel Ze F
8 Ivo Rodrigues M
11 Lior Refaelov M
19 William Owusu F
70 Dieumerci Mbokani F
Bench (7)
31 Yves De Winter
21 Dylan Batubinsika
4 Daniel Opare
14 Amara Baby
23 Omar Govea
10 Geoffry Hairemans
9 Jonathan Bolingi

Coach: L. Bölöni

Lokeren

3-4-3
13 Davino Verhulst G
32 Jakov Filipović D
18 Bambo Diaby D
3 Olivier Deschacht D
25 Mickael Tirpan D
10 Jose Francisco Cevallos M
7 Killian Overmeire M
16 Omri Ben Harush D
63 Geoffrey Bia M
22 Steve De Ridder M
21 Marko Miric F
Bench (7)
12 Ortwin De Wolf
6 Ari Freyr Skúlason
23 Lukáš Mareček
20 Joher Khadim Rassoul
99 Đorđe Jovanović
77 Anton Saroka
14 Mehdi Terki

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jan Boterberg · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.