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Ligue 1

Referee: B Bastien

Nantes

U T T U T

4–0

Full-time

Toulouse

U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 22%

11%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

56%

44%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%

17 Shots 5

9 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 3

4 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 19. · Toulouse 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	10	0	0	+31	30
2	Lille	9	6	1	2	+10	19
3	Lyon	10	5	2	3	+4	17
4	Marseille	9	5	1	3	+5	16
5	Montpellier	9	4	4	1	+5	16
6	St Etienne	9	4	3	2	-1	15
7	Bordeaux	9	4	2	3	+2	14
8	Toulouse	9	3	4	2	-2	13
9	Strasbourg	9	3	3	3	+3	12
10	Angers	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Rennes	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Nice	9	3	2	4	-6	11
13	Caen	9	2	4	3	-3	10
14	Dijon	9	3	1	5	-4	10
15	Nimes	10	2	4	4	-5	10
16	Reims	9	2	4	3	-5	10
17	Amiens	10	3	1	6	-7	10
18	Monaco	9	1	3	5	-4	6
19	Nantes	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Guingamp	9	1	2	6	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	6	0	0	+22	18
2	Lille	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Marseille	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Lyon	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	St Etienne	4	3	1	0	+4	10
6	Bordeaux	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Amiens	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Toulouse	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	+4	7
11	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Caen	4	1	3	0	+1	6
13	Nimes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Reims	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Angers	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Dijon	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Nice	4	1	0	3	-7	3
18	Monaco	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Nantes	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Guingamp	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Montpellier	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Nice	5	2	2	1	+1	8
4	Dijon	5	2	1	2	+1	7
5	Angers	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Strasbourg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
7	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	-3	5
8	Nimes	6	1	2	3	-5	5
9	St Etienne	5	1	2	2	-5	5
10	Reims	5	1	2	2	-5	5
11	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Bordeaux	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Lille	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Rennes	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Lyon	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Caen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Nantes	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Guingamp	5	1	1	3	-7	4
19	Marseille	4	1	0	3	-6	3
20	Amiens	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.