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Premier League

Referee: Anthony Taylor

West Brom

S U S T S

0–2

Full-time

Man United

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Man United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

This season — Premier League · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 41%

38%

44%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

44%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%

10 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match West Brom 7. · Man United 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	17	14	1	2	+24	43
2	Liverpool	16	10	4	2	+20	34
3	Arsenal	16	10	4	2	+20	34
4	Man City	16	10	3	3	+15	33
5	Tottenham	16	8	6	2	+16	30
6	Man United	16	7	6	3	+5	27
7	West Brom	16	6	5	5	+4	23
8	Everton	16	6	5	5	+1	23
9	Southampton	16	5	6	5	-1	21
10	Bournemouth	16	6	3	7	-3	21
11	Stoke	17	5	6	6	-5	21
12	Watford	17	6	3	8	-8	21
13	West Ham	17	5	4	8	-12	19
14	Middlesbrough	17	4	6	7	-3	18
15	Leicester	17	4	5	8	-6	17
16	Burnley	16	5	2	9	-11	17
17	Crystal Palace	17	4	3	10	-4	15
18	Sunderland	17	4	2	11	-13	14
19	Swansea	17	3	3	11	-17	12
20	Hull	17	3	3	11	-22	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	8	7	0	1	+17	21
2	Tottenham	8	6	2	0	+13	20
3	Liverpool	7	5	2	0	+15	17
4	Arsenal	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Bournemouth	8	5	1	2	+6	16
6	Everton	8	4	4	0	+6	16
7	Burnley	9	5	1	3	+4	16
8	Man City	8	4	3	1	+7	15
9	Leicester	8	4	3	1	+7	15
10	Southampton	8	4	3	1	+3	15
11	West Brom	8	4	2	2	+5	14
12	West Ham	9	4	2	3	-5	14
13	Man United	8	3	4	1	+5	13
14	Watford	8	4	1	3	+1	13
15	Stoke	9	3	3	3	-2	12
16	Middlesbrough	9	3	1	5	-1	10
17	Sunderland	9	3	1	5	-4	10
18	Swansea	8	2	2	4	-3	8
19	Hull	8	2	2	4	-6	8
20	Crystal Palace	9	2	1	6	-1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	9	7	1	1	+7	22
2	Man City	8	6	0	2	+8	18
3	Arsenal	8	5	2	1	+12	17
4	Liverpool	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Man United	8	4	2	2	+0	14
6	Tottenham	8	2	4	2	+3	10
7	West Brom	8	2	3	3	-1	9
8	Stoke	8	2	3	3	-3	9
9	Middlesbrough	8	1	5	2	-2	8
10	Crystal Palace	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Watford	9	2	2	5	-9	8
12	Everton	8	2	1	5	-5	7
13	Southampton	8	1	3	4	-4	6
14	West Ham	8	1	2	5	-7	5
15	Bournemouth	8	1	2	5	-9	5
16	Sunderland	8	1	1	6	-9	4
17	Swansea	9	1	1	7	-14	4
18	Hull	9	1	1	7	-16	4
19	Leicester	9	0	2	7	-13	2
20	Burnley	7	0	1	6	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.