Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Westerlo
Lokeren
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Standard
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +15 | 31 |
| 2 |
Waregem
|
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |
Mechelen
|
18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 28 |
| 4 |
Anderlecht
|
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +18 | 26 |
| 5 |
Gent
|
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 26 |
| 6 |
Kortrijk
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 |
Genk
|
17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 |
Oostende
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 23 |
| 9 |
Club Brugge
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 23 |
| 10 |
Charleroi
|
13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 23 |
| 11 |
Lokeren
|
18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 |
Eupen
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -13 | 17 |
| 13 |
St Truiden
|
18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -8 | 16 |
| 14 |
Beveren
|
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -22 | 11 |
| 16 |
Westerlo
|
18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -23 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
N. Rommens
Coach: J. Mathijssen
Coach: R. Kristinsson
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Standard
Westerlo
Westerlo
Gent
Eupen
Westerlo
Oostende
Westerlo
Westerlo
Waregem
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.