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Premier League
Referee: Jonathan Moss
Swansea
S T S S T
2–0
Full-time
Leicester
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Leicester
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,2
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,5
This season — Premier League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 23%
25%
21%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
79%
67%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
7 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 17. · Leicester 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 25 19 3 3 +34 60
2 Tottenham 25 14 8 3 +28 50
3 Arsenal 25 15 5 5 +26 50
4 Liverpool 25 14 7 4 +24 49
5 Man City 24 15 4 5 +20 49
6 Man United 25 13 9 3 +17 48
7 Everton 25 11 8 6 +13 41
8 West Brom 25 10 7 8 +3 37
9 Stoke 25 8 8 9 -6 32
10 West Ham 25 9 5 11 -9 32
11 Southampton 25 8 6 11 -3 30
12 Burnley 25 9 3 13 -9 30
13 Watford 25 8 6 11 -13 30
14 Bournemouth 24 7 5 12 -12 26
15 Middlesbrough 25 4 10 11 -8 22
16 Leicester 24 5 6 13 -17 21
17 Swansea 24 6 3 15 -25 21
18 Hull 25 5 5 15 -27 20
19 Crystal Palace 25 5 4 16 -14 19
20 Sunderland 25 5 4 16 -22 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Leicester
W. Routledge 🔁
↦ N. Dyer
7′
Leroy Fer 🟨
26′
36′
🟨 Robert Huth
1–0 A. Mawson
F. Fernández
36′
Jack Cork 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 B. Chilwell
↦ C. Fuchs
46′
🔁 I. Slimani
↦ M. Albrighton
2–0 Martin Olsson
G. Sigurðsson
47′
57′
🟨 Ben Chilwell
70′
🔁 D. Amartey
↦ D. Simpson
J. Ayew 🔁
↦ Llorente
72′
L. Narsingh 🔁
↦ W. Routledge
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Swansea

4-3-3
1 Ł. Fabiański G
16 Martin Olsson D
26 K. Naughton D
33 F. Fernández D
6 A. Mawson D
12 N. Dyer F
24 J. Cork M
8 L. Fer M
23 G. Sigurðsson F
42 T. Carroll M
9 Llorente F
Bench (7)
15 W. Routledge
3 J. Ayew
28 L. Narsingh
2 Jordi Amat
13 K. Nordfeldt
22 Àngel Rangel
35 S. Kingsley

Coach: P. Clement

Leicester

4-4-2
1 K. Schmeichel G
6 R. Huth D
28 C. Fuchs D
17 D. Simpson D
5 W. Morgan D
25 W. Ndidi M
11 M. Albrighton M
4 D. Drinkwater M
22 D. Gray F
26 R. Mahrez M
9 J. Vardy F
Bench (7)
3 B. Chilwell
19 I. Slimani
13 D. Amartey
7 A. Musa
10 A. King
20 S. Okazaki
21 R. Zieler

Coach: C. Ranieri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jonathan Moss · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.