← Match Finder
Premier League
Referee: Mike Jones
Swansea
T T T T S
0–4
Full-time
Arsenal
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Swansea Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
This season — Premier League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
0,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
75%
65%
Both score Ø 65%
60%
70%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
2,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 19. · Arsenal 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 20 16 1 3 +27 49
2 Tottenham 21 13 6 2 +29 45
3 Liverpool 20 13 5 2 +25 44
4 Man City 20 13 3 4 +19 42
5 Arsenal 20 12 5 3 +22 41
6 Man United 20 11 6 3 +12 39
7 Everton 20 8 6 6 +5 30
8 West Brom 21 8 5 8 +0 29
9 Bournemouth 20 7 4 9 -5 25
10 Southampton 20 6 6 8 -6 24
11 Stoke 20 6 6 8 -8 24
12 Burnley 20 7 2 11 -9 23
13 West Ham 20 6 4 10 -12 22
14 Watford 20 6 4 10 -13 22
15 Leicester 20 5 6 9 -7 21
16 Middlesbrough 20 4 7 9 -5 19
17 Crystal Palace 20 4 4 12 -7 16
18 Sunderland 20 4 3 13 -18 15
19 Swansea 20 4 3 13 -22 15
20 Hull 20 3 4 13 -27 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Arsenal
37′
O. Giroud 0–1
Sung-Yueng Ki 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
54′
J. Cork 1–1
own goal
L. Fer 🔁
↦ N. Dyer
55′
60′
🔁 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
↦ O. Giroud
67′
K. Naughton 2–1
own goal
Borja Bastón 🔁
↦ Llorente
70′
O. McBurnie 🔁
↦ J. Cork
71′
73′
A. Sánchez 2–2
Leroy Fer 🟨
78′
79′
🔁 Lucas Pérez
↦ M. Özil
79′
🔁 D. Welbeck
↦ A. Sánchez
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Swansea

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
26 K. Naughton D
33 F. Fernández D
35 S. Kingsley D
6 A. Mawson D
15 W. Routledge M
12 N. Dyer M
24 J. Cork M
4 Sung-Yeung Ki M
23 G. Sigurðsson M
9 Llorente F
Bench (7)
8 L. Fer
10 Borja Bastón
62 O. McBurnie
5 M. van der Hoorn
13 K. Nordfeldt
22 Àngel Rangel
56 J. Fulton

Coach: P. Clement

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
33 P. Čech G
18 Nacho Monreal D
6 L. Koscielny D
20 S. Mustafi D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
11 M. Özil M
8 A. Ramsey M
29 G. Xhaka M
7 A. Sánchez M
12 O. Giroud F
17 A. Iwobi M
Bench (7)
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
9 Lucas Pérez
23 D. Welbeck
13 D. Ospina
16 R. Holding
31 J. Reine-Adelaide
55 A. Maitland-Niles

Coach: A. Wenger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mike Jones · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.