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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

Excelsior

U T U T U

1–1

Full-time

Twente

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Twente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 29%

19%

38%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

62%

52%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

36% Possession 64%

12 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 8

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 16. · Twente 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	22	18	3	1	+46	57
2	Ajax	21	15	4	2	+30	49
3	PSV Eindhoven	21	13	7	1	+23	46
4	Vitesse	22	9	6	7	+5	33
5	Heerenveen	19	9	5	5	+13	32
6	Utrecht	18	8	6	4	+6	30
7	Twente	21	8	6	7	+1	30
8	AZ Alkmaar	19	7	8	4	+6	29
9	Heracles	22	6	7	9	-7	25
10	Willem II	22	6	7	9	-8	25
11	Nijmegen	22	6	7	9	-14	25
12	Groningen	21	5	8	8	-3	23
13	Zwolle	22	6	5	11	-20	23
14	Go Ahead Eagles	22	5	4	13	-15	19
15	Sparta Rotterdam	21	4	6	11	-10	18
16	Excelsior	21	4	6	11	-15	18
17	Roda	22	2	11	9	-15	17
18	Den Haag	22	5	2	15	-23	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	12	10	2	0	+29	32
2	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+16	23
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	3	1	+7	21
4	Heerenveen	9	5	3	1	+7	18
5	Twente	11	5	3	3	+4	18
6	Vitesse	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	Nijmegen	11	4	4	3	+1	16
8	Heracles	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	AZ Alkmaar	10	3	5	2	+2	14
10	Utrecht	9	4	2	3	+2	14
11	Go Ahead Eagles	11	4	1	6	-3	13
12	Willem II	12	3	4	5	-6	13
13	Sparta Rotterdam	10	3	3	4	+0	12
14	Excelsior	10	3	3	4	-1	12
15	Zwolle	12	3	3	6	-11	12
16	Groningen	10	2	5	3	-6	11
17	Den Haag	10	3	1	6	-6	10
18	Roda	11	1	5	5	-5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	8	2	1	+14	26
2	Feyenoord	10	8	1	1	+17	25
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	4	0	+16	25
4	Utrecht	9	4	4	1	+4	16
5	Vitesse	11	4	4	3	+3	16
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Heerenveen	10	4	2	4	+6	14
8	Groningen	11	3	3	5	+3	12
9	Willem II	10	3	3	4	-2	12
10	Twente	10	3	3	4	-3	12
11	Zwolle	10	3	2	5	-9	11
12	Heracles	11	2	4	5	-8	10
13	Roda	11	1	6	4	-10	9
14	Nijmegen	11	2	3	6	-15	9
15	Den Haag	12	2	1	9	-17	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	3	7	-10	6
17	Go Ahead Eagles	11	1	3	7	-12	6
18	Excelsior	11	1	3	7	-14	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.