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Premier League
Referee: Craig Pawson
Huddersfield
T U U U S
1–0
Full-time
Newcastle
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huddersfield Newcastle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
3,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
7 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
4 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huddersfield 6. · Newcastle 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man United 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 West Brom 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Watford 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Liverpool 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Southampton 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Huddersfield 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Man City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Tottenham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Leicester 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Everton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Arsenal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Burnley 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Stoke 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Swansea 2 0 1 1 -4 1
15 Chelsea 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Newcastle 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Bournemouth 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Crystal Palace 2 0 0 2 -4 0
19 Brighton 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 West Ham 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huddersfield Newcastle
41′
🟨 Matt Ritchie
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Mooy
E. Kachunga
50′
52′
🔁 Joselu
↦ D. Gayle
53′
🟨 Isaac Hayden
64′
🟨 Joselu
Philip Billing 🟨
66′
C. Quaner 🔁
↦ R. van La Parra
69′
K. Palmer 🔁
↦ E. Kachunga
72′
76′
🔁 M. Diamé
↦ I. Hayden
Kasey Palmer 🟨
77′
80′
🔁 Jacob Murphy
↦ Ayoze Pérez
Steve Mounié 🟨
88′
90′
🟨 Jamaal Lascelles
M. Hefele 🔁
↦ T. Ince
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Huddersfield

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lössl G
25 M. Jørgensen D
15 C. Löwe D
26 C. Schindler D
2 T. Smith D
17 R. van La Parra M
10 A. Mooy M
22 T. Ince M
8 P. Billing M
9 E. Kachunga M
24 S. Mounié F
Bench (7)
23 C. Quaner
45 K. Palmer
44 M. Hefele
3 S. Malone
13 J. Coleman
18 J. Lolley
19 D. Williams

Coach: D. Wagner

Newcastle

4-2-3-1
1 R. Elliot G
2 C. Clark D
6 J. Lascelles D
18 C. Mbemba D
19 Javi Manquillo D
11 M. Ritchie M
30 C. Atsu M
14 I. Hayden M
23 Mikel Merino M
9 D. Gayle F
17 Ayoze Pérez M
Bench (7)
21 Joselu
10 M. Diamé
7 Jacob Murphy
24 H. Saivet
16 R. Aarons
26 K. Darlow
45 A. Mitrović

Coach: Rafael Benítez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Craig Pawson · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.