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Serie A
Referee: Paolo Tagliavento
Inter
T T T S S
3–0
Full-time
Fiorentina
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,2
4,8
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
2,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Inter Fiorentina
1–0 M. Icardi
6′
13′
🟨 Carlos Sánchez
2–0 M. Icardi
I. Perišić
15′
Half-time 2–0
55′
🔁 S. Cristóforo
↦ M. Benassi
60′
🔁 K. Babacar
↦ G. Simeone
João Mário 🔁
↦ Borja Valero
64′
R. Gagliardini 🔁
↦ M. Brozović
71′
3–0 I. Perišić
João Mário
79′
80′
🔁 R. Zekhnini
↦ J. Veretout
E. Martins 🔁
↦ M. Icardi
84′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Inter

4-2-3-1
1 S. Handanovič G
25 João Miranda D
55 Y. Nagatomo D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
37 M. Škriniar D
44 I. Perišić M
87 A. Candreva M
20 Borja Valero M
11 M. Vecino M
77 M. Brozović M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (11)
10 João Mário
5 R. Gagliardini
23 E. Martins
8 S. Jovetić
13 A. Ranocchia
15 C. Ansaldi
27 D. Padelli
29 Dalbert Henrique
61 Z. Vanheusden
96 Gabriel
99 A. Pinamonti

Coach: L. Spalletti

Fiorentina

4-3-3
57 M. Sportiello G
40 N. Tomović D
13 D. Astori D
31 Vitor Hugo D
15 M. Olivera M
6 C. Sánchez M
10 V. Eysseric M
17 J. Veretout M
24 M. Benassi M
9 G. Simeone F
28 Gil Dias M
Bench (12)
19 S. Cristóforo
30 K. Babacar
7 R. Zekhnini
3 C. Biraghi
4 N. Milenković
5 M. Badelj
11 I. Hagi
20 G. Pezzella
22 M. Cerofolini
51 P. Hristov
76 Bruno Gaspar
97 B. Drągowski

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Paolo Tagliavento · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.