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Ligue 1

Referee: Amaury Delerue

Paris SG

S S U S S

6–2

Full-time

Toulouse

T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

2,8

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

0,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

73% Possession 27%

23 Shots 7

14 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

7 Corners 1

7 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 5. · Toulouse 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	St Etienne	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Lyon	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Bordeaux	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Angers	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Troyes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Toulouse	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Nice	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Caen	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Lille	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Guingamp	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Rennes	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Dijon	3	0	1	2	-6	1
19	Metz	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Amiens	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Montpellier	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Lille	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Metz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Caen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Nantes	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Bordeaux	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Dijon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Lille	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.