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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Tottenham
T S S S S
1–2
Full-time
Chelsea
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
4,2
Scored
3,2
3,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,8
This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
18 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
14 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 21
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tottenham 8. · Chelsea 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man United 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 West Brom 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Watford 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Liverpool 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Southampton 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Man City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Tottenham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Leicester 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Everton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Arsenal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Burnley 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Stoke 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Swansea 2 0 1 1 -4 1
15 Chelsea 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Bournemouth 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Newcastle 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Crystal Palace 2 0 0 2 -4 0
19 Brighton 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 West Ham 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tottenham Chelsea
24′
Marcos Alonso 0–1
30′
🟨 Antonio Rüdiger
Eric Dier 🟨
31′
38′
🟨 David Luiz
Half-time 0–1
Jan Vertonghen 🟨
51′
Son Heung-Min 🔁
↦ E. Dier
68′
78′
🔁 Pedro
↦ Willian
79′
🔁 M. Batshuayi
↦ Álvaro Morata
M. Sissoko 🔁
↦ B. Davies
80′
0–2 M. Batshuayi
own goal
82′
Toby Alderweireld 🟨
83′
87′
🟨 Marcos Alonso
Harry Kane 🟨
88′
88′
Marcos Alonso 0–3
Pedro
V. Janssen 🔁
↦ K. Trippier
91′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-3-2-1
1 H. Lloris G
5 J. Vertonghen D
4 T. Alderweireld D
2 K. Trippier D
33 B. Davies D
19 M. Dembélé M
12 V. Wanyama M
23 C. Eriksen M
20 D. Alli M
15 E. Dier M
10 H. Kane F
Bench (7)
7 Son Heung-Min
17 M. Sissoko
9 V. Janssen
13 M. Vorm
27 K. Wimmer
29 H. Winks
37 K. Walker-Peters

Coach: M. Pochettino

Chelsea

3-5-1-1
13 T. Courtois G
30 David Luiz M
28 Azpilicueta D
3 Marcos Alonso M
2 A. Rüdiger D
27 A. Christensen D
22 Willian F
15 V. Moses M
14 T. Bakayoko M
7 N. Kanté M
9 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (7)
11 Pedro
23 M. Batshuayi
1 W. Caballero
16 Kenedy
17 C. Musonda
31 F. Tomori
36 K. Scott

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.