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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Ajax

S T S S T

3–1

Full-time

Groningen

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Groningen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

4,0

5,2

Scored

3,0

2,3

Conceded

1,0

2,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

6,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

2,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

69% Possession 31%

27 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 2

11 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

12 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 13. · Groningen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	VVV Venlo	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Heracles	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Heerenveen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Groningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Twente	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Roda	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Groningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.