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Premier League
Referee: Kevin Friend
Bournemouth
T T T S S
2–0
Full-time
Cardiff
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bournemouth Cardiff
3′
🟨 Lee Peltier
1–0 R. Fraser ⚽
C. Wilson
24′
Charlie Daniels 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 D. Ward
↦ C. Paterson
63′
🔁 Josh Murphy
↦ N. Mendez-Laing
S. Francis 🔁
↦ D. Brooks
67′
88′
🔁 G. Madine
↦ B. Reid
2–0 C. Wilson ⚽
S. Francis
91′
J. Defoe 🔁
↦ A. Smith
93′
L. Mousset 🔁
↦ C. Wilson
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bournemouth

4-4-2
27 A. Begović G
11 C. Daniels D
15 A. Smith D
3 S. Cook D
5 N. Aké D
6 A. Surman M
4 D. Gosling M
24 R. Fraser M
20 D. Brooks M
13 C. Wilson F
17 J. King F
Bench (7)
2 S. Francis
9 L. Mousset
18 J. Defoe
1 A. Boruc
10 J. Ibe
16 L. Cook
26 T. Mings

Coach: E. Howe

Cardiff

4-1-4-1
1 N. Etheridge G
2 L. Peltier D
5 B. Écuélé Manga D
22 S. Bamba M
4 S. Morrison D
3 J. Bennett D
13 C. Paterson M
14 B. Reid F
8 J. Ralls M
33 J. Hoilett M
19 N. Mendez-Laing M
Bench (7)
9 D. Ward
11 Josh Murphy
24 G. Madine
12 A. Smithies
21 Víctor Camarasa
18 G. Cunningham
6 J. Richards

Coach: N. Warnock

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.