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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
PSV Eindhoven
S S U U U
4–0
Full-time
Utrecht
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,8
Scored
2,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Utrecht
1–0 G. Pereiro
16′
26′
🟨 Giovanni Troupee
Steven Bergwijn 🟨
40′
Jorrit Hendrix 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 Mark Van der Maarel
2–0 S. Bergwijn
57′
59′
🔁 C. Dessers
↦ G. Kerk
D. Rigo 🔁
↦ P. Rosario
67′
71′
🔁 J. van Overeem
↦ G. Troupée
3–0 H. Lozano
77′
4–0 D. Dumfries
G. Pereiro
80′
M. Romero 🔁
↦ G. Pereiro
81′
81′
🔁 N. Gavory
↦ U. Emanuelson
D. Malen 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
86′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 N. Viergever D
6 Angeliño D
22 D. Dumfries D
8 J. Hendrix M
7 G. Pereiro M
18 P. Rosario M
9 L. de Jong F
17 S. Bergwijn F
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (11)
16 D. Rigo
10 M. Romero
14 D. Malen
32 M. Sadílek
3 D. Luckassen
13 E. Room
33 J. Teze
19 C. Gakpo
2 N. Isimat-Mirin
23 B. Ramselaar
47 Mauro Júnior

Coach: M. van Bommel

Utrecht

5-3-2
1 D. Jensen G
3 R. Leeuwin D
14 W. Janssen D
2 M. van der Maarel D
5 L. Guwara D
17 S. Klaiber D
20 G. Troupée D
28 U. Emanuelson M
22 S. van de Streek M
10 Simon Gustafson M
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (8)
11 C. Dessers
8 J. van Overeem
24 N. Gavory
9 S. Makienok
16 N. Marsman
13 E. Bergström
19 P. Joosten
27 L. Görtler

Coach: J. de Jong

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.