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Championship

Referee: Lee Mason

Norwich

T U S T U

3–4

Full-time

West Brom

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich West Brom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — Championship · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%

20 Shots 13

10 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 8

4 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 14

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norwich 14. · West Brom 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Wigan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Nott'm Forest	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	West Brom	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Hull	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Sheffield United	2	0	0	2	-4	0
24	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Wigan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Hull	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.