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Championship
Referee: David Webb
Rotherham
T S U U T
1–0
Full-time
Ipswich
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Ipswich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
6,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
5,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
10 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 12
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 24. · Ipswich 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 0 +3 4
2 Brentford 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Wigan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Bolton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Derby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Preston 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Nott'm Forest 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Ipswich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Blackburn 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Norwich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 West Brom 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Sheffield Weds 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 QPR 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Stoke 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Hull 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Sheffield United 2 0 0 2 -4 0
24 Rotherham 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham Ipswich
Matt Palmer 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
R. Williams 🔁
↦ J. Newell
62′
A. Forde 🔁
↦ J. Taylor
67′
67′
🔁 K. Jackson
↦ E. Harrison
Will Vaulks 🟨
71′
77′
🔁 A. Edun
↦ G. Ward
82′
🔁 J. Roberts
↦ G. Edwards
1–0 M. Smith
90′
B. Jones 🔁
↦ K. Vassell
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rotherham

4-4-2
1 M. Rodák G
6 R. Wood D
3 J. Mattock D
5 S. Ajayi D
2 Z. Vyner D
11 J. Taylor M
22 J. Newell M
8 M. Palmer M
4 W. Vaulks M
24 M. Smith F
19 K. Vassell F
Bench (7)
23 R. Williams
7 A. Forde
28 B. Jones
10 David Ball
12 L. Price
25 B. Wiles
26 S. Raggett

Coach: P. Warne

Ipswich

4-2-3-1
33 B. Bialkowski G
4 L. Chambers D
22 A. Nsiala D
3 J. Knudsen D
2 J. Donacien D
6 T. Chalobah M
8 C. Skuse M
11 J. Nolan M
7 G. Edwards M
18 G. Ward M
10 E. Harrison F
Bench (7)
9 K. Jackson
25 A. Edun
19 J. Roberts
1 D. Gerken
12 J. Spence
20 F. Sears
30 M. Kenlock

Coach: P. Hurst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

David Webb · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.