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Premier League
Referee: Martin Atkinson
Bournemouth
T T S U T
1–3
Full-time
Burnley
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Burnley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — Premier League · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 31%
34%
28%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
63%
59%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bournemouth 12. · Burnley 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 33 25 7 1 +55 82
2 Man City 32 26 2 4 +62 80
3 Tottenham 32 21 1 10 +26 64
4 Arsenal 31 19 6 6 +26 63
5 Chelsea 32 19 6 7 +21 63
6 Man United 32 18 7 7 +18 61
7 Wolves 32 13 8 11 +1 47
8 Watford 32 13 7 12 +0 46
9 Leicester 32 13 5 14 -1 44
10 Everton 32 12 7 13 +3 43
11 West Ham 32 12 6 14 -7 42
12 Bournemouth 32 11 5 16 -15 38
13 Crystal Palace 32 10 6 16 -5 36
14 Newcastle 32 9 8 15 -11 35
15 Brighton 31 9 6 16 -14 33
16 Southampton 32 8 9 15 -17 33
17 Burnley 32 9 6 17 -22 33
18 Cardiff 32 8 4 20 -33 28
19 Fulham 33 4 5 24 -46 17
20 Huddersfield 32 3 5 24 -41 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bournemouth Burnley
0–1 A. Barnes
own goal
4′
18′
C. Wood 0–2
A. Westwood
20′
A. Westwood 0–3
Nathaniel Clyne 🟨
29′
32′
🟨 Jeff Hendrick
35′
🟨 Ashley Barnes
Half-time 0–3
Diego Rico 🔁
↦ N. Clyne
46′
56′
A. Barnes 0–4
C. Wood
D. Solanke 🔁
↦ D. Gosling
59′
J. Stanislas 🔁
↦ J. Lerma
71′
78′
🟨 Ben Mee
82′
🔁 J. Guðmunds­son
↦ J. Hendrick
Adam Smith 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Bournemouth

4-4-2
27 A. Begović G
23 N. Clyne D
15 A. Smith D
5 N. Aké D
33 C. Mepham D
4 D. Gosling M
24 R. Fraser M
8 J. Lerma M
20 D. Brooks M
13 C. Wilson F
17 J. King F
Bench (7)
21 Diego Rico
29 D. Solanke
19 J. Stanislas
9 L. Mousset
25 J. Simpson
1 A. Boruc
10 J. Ibe

Coach: E. Howe

Burnley

4-4-2
1 T. Heaton G
2 M. Lowton D
6 B. Mee D
5 J. Tarkowski D
3 C. Taylor D
4 J. Cork M
18 A. Westwood M
13 J. Hendrick M
10 A. Barnes F
11 C. Wood F
31 D. McNeil M
Bench (7)
7 J. Guðmunds­son
27 M. Vydra
12 R. Brady
14 B. Gibson
23 S. Ward
28 K. Long
20 J. Hart

Coach: S. Dyche

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Martin Atkinson · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.