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Ligue 1

Referee: O Thual

Nimes

S T T U T

2–0

Full-time

Caen

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 29/30 matches

Win Ø 24%

34%

13%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

55%

43%

Both score Ø 49%

48%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nimes 13. · Caen 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	29	26	2	1	+71	80
2	Lille	30	18	6	6	+22	60
3	Lyon	31	16	8	7	+14	56
4	St Etienne	30	14	7	9	+8	49
5	Marseille	31	14	6	11	+5	48
6	Reims	30	11	13	6	+0	46
7	Montpellier	30	11	12	7	+8	45
8	Nice	30	12	8	10	-7	44
9	Strasbourg	30	10	12	8	+14	42
10	Rennes	29	11	8	10	+2	41
11	Bordeaux	31	9	11	11	-1	38
12	Angers	30	8	13	9	+0	37
13	Nimes	29	10	7	12	-3	37
14	Toulouse	30	7	11	12	-16	32
15	Nantes	29	8	7	14	-5	31
16	Monaco	30	7	9	14	-15	30
17	Amiens	30	8	6	16	-19	30
18	Dijon	31	6	6	19	-24	24
19	Caen	30	4	11	15	-20	23
20	Guingamp	30	5	7	18	-34	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	15	0	0	+47	45
2	Lyon	16	10	3	3	+14	33
3	St Etienne	15	10	2	3	+13	32
4	Marseille	15	9	4	2	+16	31
5	Lille	15	9	4	2	+16	31
6	Bordeaux	16	7	6	3	+6	27
7	Reims	15	7	6	2	+6	27
8	Rennes	15	7	4	4	+7	25
9	Strasbourg	15	6	6	3	+10	24
10	Montpellier	15	6	6	3	+9	24
11	Nice	14	7	3	4	+0	24
12	Angers	15	5	6	4	+3	21
13	Nimes	14	5	5	4	+5	20
14	Amiens	15	6	2	7	-3	20
15	Nantes	14	5	4	5	+6	19
16	Toulouse	15	3	7	5	-4	16
17	Monaco	16	3	5	8	-11	14
18	Guingamp	15	3	4	8	-9	13
19	Dijon	15	3	3	9	-14	12
20	Caen	15	2	5	8	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	11	2	1	+24	35
2	Lille	15	9	2	4	+6	29
3	Lyon	15	6	5	4	+0	23
4	Montpellier	15	5	6	4	-1	21
5	Nice	16	5	5	6	-7	20
6	Reims	15	4	7	4	-6	19
7	Strasbourg	15	4	6	5	+4	18
8	St Etienne	15	4	5	6	-5	17
9	Nimes	15	5	2	8	-8	17
10	Marseille	16	5	2	9	-11	17
11	Angers	15	3	7	5	-3	16
12	Monaco	14	4	4	6	-4	16
13	Rennes	14	4	4	6	-5	16
14	Toulouse	15	4	4	7	-12	16
15	Caen	15	2	6	7	-9	12
16	Dijon	16	3	3	10	-10	12
17	Nantes	15	3	3	9	-11	12
18	Bordeaux	15	2	5	8	-7	11
19	Amiens	15	2	4	9	-16	10
20	Guingamp	15	2	3	10	-25	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.