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La Liga

Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes

Real Madrid

T S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Eibar

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Eibar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 45%

60%

30%

Points per game

1,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

57%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

13 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

6 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Eibar 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	30	21	7	2	+48	70
2	Ath Madrid	30	18	8	4	+26	62
3	Real Madrid	30	18	3	9	+17	57
4	Getafe	30	12	11	7	+10	47
5	Sevilla	30	13	7	10	+12	46
6	Valencia	30	10	16	4	+9	46
7	Alaves	30	12	8	10	-6	44
8	Ath Bilbao	30	10	13	7	-1	43
9	Sociedad	30	10	10	10	+1	40
10	Betis	30	11	7	12	-5	40
11	Eibar	30	9	12	9	-1	39
12	Leganes	30	10	9	11	-4	39
13	Espanol	31	10	8	13	-10	38
14	Girona	31	8	10	13	-10	34
15	Levante	30	8	8	14	-12	32
16	Villarreal	30	6	12	12	-5	30
17	Valladolid	30	7	9	14	-17	30
18	Celta	30	7	8	15	-10	29
19	Vallecano	30	6	6	18	-22	24
20	Huesca	30	5	8	17	-20	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	15	12	2	1	+18	38
2	Barcelona	15	11	3	1	+28	36
3	Real Madrid	15	10	1	4	+14	31
4	Sevilla	15	9	3	3	+14	30
5	Eibar	16	8	5	3	+10	29
6	Ath Bilbao	16	7	7	2	+4	28
7	Leganes	15	7	6	2	+6	27
8	Espanol	15	8	2	5	+0	26
9	Getafe	14	8	1	5	+9	25
10	Valencia	16	5	10	1	+9	25
11	Alaves	14	6	6	2	+2	24
12	Betis	15	6	4	5	-2	22
13	Sociedad	15	5	5	5	+1	20
14	Celta	15	5	4	6	+1	19
15	Villarreal	16	3	7	6	+0	16
16	Levante	14	4	4	6	-7	16
17	Huesca	15	3	5	7	-5	14
18	Vallecano	15	3	5	7	-9	14
19	Valladolid	14	3	4	7	-8	13
20	Girona	16	2	6	8	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	10	4	1	+20	34
2	Real Madrid	15	8	2	5	+3	26
3	Ath Madrid	15	6	6	3	+8	24
4	Getafe	16	4	10	2	+1	22
5	Girona	15	6	4	5	+0	22
6	Valencia	14	5	6	3	+0	21
7	Sociedad	15	5	5	5	+0	20
8	Alaves	16	6	2	8	-8	20
9	Betis	15	5	3	7	-3	18
10	Valladolid	16	4	5	7	-9	17
11	Sevilla	15	4	4	7	-2	16
12	Levante	16	4	4	8	-5	16
13	Ath Bilbao	14	3	6	5	-5	15
14	Villarreal	14	3	5	6	-5	14
15	Espanol	16	2	6	8	-10	12
16	Leganes	15	3	3	9	-10	12
17	Celta	15	2	4	9	-11	10
18	Eibar	14	1	7	6	-11	10
19	Vallecano	15	3	1	11	-13	10
20	Huesca	15	2	3	10	-15	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.