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Eredivisie

Referee: Jochem Kamphuis

De Graafschap

U T S T T

1–1

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

De Graafschap AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 40%

25%

54%

Points per game

0,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

64%

68%

Both score Ø 43%

39%

46%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,1

2,0

Conceded

2,1

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

9 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

3 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match De Graafschap 16. · AZ Alkmaar 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	29	23	2	4	+74	71
2	PSV Eindhoven	28	22	4	2	+65	70
3	AZ Alkmaar	28	15	6	7	+23	51
4	Feyenoord	28	15	5	8	+24	50
5	Heracles	26	13	3	10	+2	42
6	Utrecht	26	11	7	8	+6	40
7	Willem II	29	12	4	13	-8	40
8	Groningen	27	11	5	11	+1	38
9	Vitesse	25	9	9	7	+7	36
10	Heerenveen	28	9	9	10	-5	36
11	Den Haag	29	8	9	12	-12	33
12	VVV Venlo	28	9	6	13	-16	33
13	Zwolle	28	9	5	14	-12	32
14	For Sittard	28	8	6	14	-19	30
15	Excelsior	29	7	5	17	-30	26
16	De Graafschap	28	7	4	17	-26	25
17	FC Emmen	28	6	7	15	-36	25
18	NAC Breda	28	5	6	17	-38	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	13	1	0	+46	40
2	Ajax	14	12	2	0	+48	38
3	Feyenoord	14	12	0	2	+27	36
4	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	3	2	+19	30
5	Heracles	13	9	0	4	+13	27
6	Groningen	14	8	1	5	+7	25
7	Vitesse	12	6	5	1	+7	23
8	Utrecht	13	6	4	3	+9	22
9	For Sittard	14	6	4	4	+6	22
10	VVV Venlo	14	6	3	5	+2	21
11	Den Haag	15	5	4	6	-5	19
12	Excelsior	15	5	3	7	-11	18
13	De Graafschap	14	5	2	7	-1	17
14	Willem II	14	5	2	7	-5	17
15	NAC Breda	14	4	4	6	-8	16
16	Zwolle	14	4	3	7	-4	15
17	Heerenveen	14	3	5	6	-9	14
18	FC Emmen	14	2	5	7	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	11	0	4	+26	33
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	9	3	2	+19	30
3	Willem II	15	7	2	6	-3	23
4	Heerenveen	14	6	4	4	+4	22
5	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	3	5	+4	21
6	Utrecht	13	5	3	5	-3	18
7	Zwolle	14	5	2	7	-8	17
8	Heracles	13	4	3	6	-11	15
9	Feyenoord	14	3	5	6	-3	14
10	Den Haag	14	3	5	6	-7	14
11	FC Emmen	14	4	2	8	-23	14
12	Vitesse	13	3	4	6	+0	13
13	Groningen	13	3	4	6	-6	13
14	VVV Venlo	14	3	3	8	-18	12
15	Excelsior	14	2	2	10	-19	8
16	For Sittard	14	2	2	10	-25	8
17	De Graafschap	14	2	2	10	-25	8
18	NAC Breda	14	1	2	11	-30	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.