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Championship

Referee: Lee Probert

Derby

U T S U U

0–2

Full-time

Wolves

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Derby Wolves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

2,8

1,3

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — Championship · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 5

6 Free kicks against 10

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Derby 15. · Wolves 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Reading	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Aston Villa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Reading	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.