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Championship
Referee: Scott Duncan
Wolves
T S S S S
1–2
Full-time
Cardiff
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
This season — Championship · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
12 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 2. · Cardiff 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cardiff 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Wolves 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Ipswich 3 3 0 0 +3 9
4 Middlesbrough 3 2 0 1 +2 6
5 Nott'm Forest 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Sheffield United 4 2 0 2 -1 6
7 Sunderland 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Leeds 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Hull 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Bristol City 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Norwich 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 QPR 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Preston 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Birmingham 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Reading 3 1 1 1 -1 4
16 Derby 3 1 1 1 -1 4
17 Fulham 3 0 3 0 +0 3
18 Barnsley 4 1 0 3 -3 3
19 Burton Albion 4 1 0 3 -5 3
20 Bolton 3 0 2 1 -1 2
21 Sheffield Weds 3 0 2 1 -1 2
22 Brentford 3 0 1 2 -2 1
23 Millwall 3 0 1 2 -2 1
24 Aston Villa 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Cardiff
19′
🟨 Junior Hoilett
Romain Saïss 🟨
28′
38′
🟨 Joe Ralls
45′
🟨 Loïc Damour
Half-time 0–1
54′
J. Ralls 0–1
J. Hoilett
56′
🟨 Lee Peltier
Ivan Cavaleiro 🔁
↦ B. Enobakhare
58′
Barry Douglas 🟨
61′
1–1 Léo Bonatini
B. Douglas
67′
77′
N. Mendez-Laing 1–2
K. Zohorè
N. Dicko 🔁
↦ B. Douglas
78′
C. Ronan 🔁
↦ R. Saïss
83′
83′
🔁 D. Ward
↦ J. Hoilett
90′
🔁 B. Écuélé Manga
↦ L. Damour
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Wolves

3-4-3
21 J. Ruddy
3 B. Douglas M
25 Roderick D
15 W. Boly D
2 M. Doherty M
16 C. Coady D
27 R. Saïss M
8 Rúben Neves M
18 Diogo Jota F
33 Léo Bonatini F
26 B. Enobakhare F
Bench (7)
7 Ivan Cavaleiro
9 N. Dicko
20 C. Ronan
5 R. Bennett
6 D. Batth
19 J. Price
31 W. Norris

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Cardiff

4-2-3-1
25 N. Etheridge G
2 L. Peltier D
14 S. Bamba D
4 S. Morrison D
6 J. Richards D
17 A. Gunnarsson M
20 L. Damour M
19 N. Mendez-Laing F
8 J. Ralls M
33 J. Hoilett F
10 K. Zohorè F
Bench (7)
9 D. Ward
5 B. Écuélé Manga
30 O. Bogle
7 L. Tomlin
15 G. Halford
23 M. Kennedy
28 B. Murphy

Coach: N. Warnock

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Scott Duncan · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.