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Championship
Referee: Andy Davies
Barnsley
U U S U T
1–3
Full-time
Fulham
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,7
4,2
Scored
0,7
3,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,2
This season — Championship · 28/26 matches
Win Ø 34%
21%
46%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
46%
Both score Ø 58%
54%
62%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barnsley 19. · Fulham 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 28 19 5 4 +28 62
2 Derby 27 15 7 5 +21 52
3 Cardiff 28 15 6 7 +15 51
4 Bristol City 28 13 9 6 +8 48
5 Sheffield United 28 14 4 10 +10 46
6 Fulham 26 12 8 6 +13 44
7 Aston Villa 25 12 7 6 +15 43
8 Middlesbrough 26 13 4 9 +12 43
9 Brentford 28 11 10 7 +7 43
10 Leeds 28 13 4 11 +7 43
11 Preston 28 10 12 6 +4 42
12 Ipswich 28 12 4 12 +1 40
13 Norwich 28 10 7 11 -5 37
14 Nott'm Forest 28 11 2 15 -8 35
15 Millwall 28 8 10 10 +0 34
16 QPR 28 8 9 11 -9 33
17 Sheffield Weds 28 7 11 10 -4 32
18 Reading 28 7 8 13 -6 29
19 Barnsley 28 6 9 13 -12 27
20 Bolton 28 6 8 14 -20 26
21 Hull 28 5 10 13 -6 25
22 Sunderland 28 5 10 13 -17 25
23 Birmingham 28 6 6 16 -23 24
24 Burton Albion 28 6 6 16 -31 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barnsley Fulham
31′
🟨 Marcus Bettinelli
1–0 L. Lindsay
31′
Adam Hammill 🟨
36′
Dimitri Cavaré 🟨
39′
Dimitri Cavaré 🟨
45′
Dimitri Cavaré 🟥
45′
45′
🟨 Stefan Johansen
Half-time 1–0
Dani Pinillos 🔁
↦ T. Bradshaw
46′
46′
🔁 M. Targett
↦ D. Odoi
49′
R. Sessegnon 1–1
Liam Lindsay 🟨
56′
63′
🔁 N. Kebano
↦ Lucas Piazon
R. Hedges 🔁
↦ A. Hammill
66′
70′
🔁 A. Kamara
↦ S. Johansen
M. Thiam 🔁
↦ K. Moore
81′
92′
K. McDonald 1–2
95′
R. Sessegnon 1–3
N. Kebano
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Barnsley

4-4-2
1 A. Davies G
24 M. Pearson D
12 D. Cavaré D
6 L. Lindsay D
7 A. Hammill M
22 G. Gardner M
17 A. Yiadom D
10 G. Moncur M
19 K. Moore F
14 S. Mallan M
9 T. Bradshaw F
Bench (7)
23 Dani Pinillos
34 R. Hedges
26 M. Thiam
2 J. McCarthy
13 N. Townsend
20 B. Potts
35 J. Brown

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Fulham

4-2-3-1
1 M. Bettinelli G
4 D. Odoi D
13 T. Ream D
26 T. Kalas D
3 R. Sessegnon D
8 S. Johansen M
6 K. McDonald M
16 O. Norwood M
2 R. Fredericks D
9 Rui Fonte F
20 Lucas Piazon F
Bench (7)
21 M. Targett
7 N. Kebano
47 A. Kamara
27 D. Button
36 L. de la Torre
43 S. Sessegnon
44 I. Cissé

Coach: S. Jokanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Davies · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.