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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez

Valencia

T T S S T

1–4

Full-time

Real Madrid

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

This season — La Liga · 20/19 matches

Win Ø 57%

60%

53%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

65%

68%

Both score Ø 54%

60%

47%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

2,1

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

42% Possession 58%

11 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

20 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 3. · Real Madrid 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	20	17	3	0	+48	54
2	Ath Madrid	20	12	7	1	+20	43
3	Valencia	20	12	4	4	+20	40
4	Real Madrid	19	10	5	4	+21	35
5	Villarreal	20	10	4	6	+6	34
6	Sevilla	20	10	2	8	-2	32
7	Eibar	21	8	5	8	-7	29
8	Celta	20	8	4	8	+7	28
9	Getafe	20	7	6	7	+5	27
10	Ath Bilbao	21	6	9	6	+1	27
11	Girona	20	7	6	7	+0	27
12	Betis	20	8	3	9	-8	27
13	Leganes	19	7	4	8	-2	25
14	Espanol	20	6	6	8	-9	24
15	Sociedad	20	6	5	9	-2	23
16	Levante	21	3	10	8	-12	19
17	Alaves	20	6	1	13	-13	19
18	La Coruna	21	4	5	12	-22	17
19	Las Palmas	20	4	2	14	-31	14
20	Malaga	20	3	3	14	-20	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+25	25
2	Valencia	10	7	2	1	+15	23
3	Real Madrid	11	6	2	3	+15	20
4	Getafe	11	6	2	3	+9	20
5	Sevilla	9	6	2	1	+8	20
6	Ath Madrid	9	5	4	0	+7	19
7	Eibar	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	Villarreal	9	5	2	2	+9	17
9	Espanol	11	5	2	4	+0	17
10	Betis	11	5	2	4	-2	17
11	Girona	10	4	2	4	+3	14
12	Ath Bilbao	10	3	5	2	+2	14
13	Leganes	8	4	2	2	+1	14
14	Alaves	11	4	1	6	-5	13
15	Celta	9	3	3	3	+1	12
16	Sociedad	11	3	3	5	-1	12
17	La Coruna	11	3	2	6	-7	11
18	Levante	11	2	4	5	-6	10
19	Las Palmas	10	3	1	6	-11	10
20	Malaga	9	2	2	5	-6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	9	2	0	+23	29
2	Ath Madrid	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Valencia	10	5	2	3	+5	17
4	Villarreal	11	5	2	4	-3	17
5	Celta	11	5	1	5	+6	16
6	Real Madrid	8	4	3	1	+6	15
7	Ath Bilbao	11	3	4	4	-1	13
8	Girona	10	3	4	3	-3	13
9	Sevilla	11	4	0	7	-10	12
10	Sociedad	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Leganes	11	3	2	6	-3	11
12	Eibar	10	3	2	5	-13	11
13	Betis	9	3	1	5	-6	10
14	Levante	10	1	6	3	-6	9
15	Getafe	9	1	4	4	-4	7
16	Espanol	9	1	4	4	-9	7
17	Alaves	9	2	0	7	-8	6
18	La Coruna	10	1	3	6	-15	6
19	Malaga	11	1	1	9	-14	4
20	Las Palmas	10	1	1	8	-20	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.