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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
Zwolle
S U S T S
1–2
Full-time
Vitesse
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 19/17 matches
Win Ø 44%
53%
35%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
42%
59%
Both score Ø 62%
53%
71%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 6
2 Offside 6
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 4. · Vitesse 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 19 16 1 2 +29 49
2 Ajax 19 14 2 3 +39 44
3 AZ Alkmaar 19 12 3 4 +15 39
4 Zwolle 19 10 6 3 +6 36
5 Feyenoord 19 9 6 4 +19 33
6 Den Haag 18 8 3 7 -1 27
7 Heerenveen 19 7 6 6 -2 27
8 Utrecht 17 7 5 5 -3 26
9 Vitesse 17 6 6 5 +7 24
10 Excelsior 19 7 3 9 -5 24
11 VVV Venlo 19 5 8 6 -4 23
12 Heracles 20 6 5 9 -12 23
13 Groningen 20 5 7 8 +0 22
14 Willem II 19 4 5 10 -13 17
15 Twente 19 4 4 11 -9 16
16 NAC Breda 19 4 4 11 -16 16
17 Roda 19 3 3 13 -23 12
18 Sparta Rotterdam 20 2 5 13 -27 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Vitesse
29′
B. Linssen 0–1
T. Bruns
N. Freire 🔁
↦ R. Ligeon
40′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Y. Namli
R. Dekker
58′
S. Nijland 🔁
↦ T. Ondaan
63′
69′
🔁 L. Castaignos
↦ T. Matavž
75′
M. Mount 1–2
77′
🔁 M. van der Werff
↦ G. Kashia
Kingsley Ehizibue 🟨
79′
P. Parzyszek 🔁
↦ M. Saymak
83′
84′
🔁 T. Oude Kotte
↦ B. Linssen
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 D. Boer G
4 D. Marcellis D
24 R. Ligeon D
13 P. Sandler D
6 M. Saymak M
21 Y. Namli F
19 R. Dekker M
7 Y. Mokhtar F
30 R. Thomas M
11 T. Ondaan F
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (9)
3 N. Freire
10 S. Nijland
9 P. Parzyszek
8 W. Marinus
14 E. Israelsson
16 M. van der Hart
23 E. Bakker
28 R. Benschop
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: J. van 't Schip

Vitesse

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
37 G. Kashia D
2 F. Dabo D
5 M. Miazga D
43 L. Faye D
17 T. Serero M
10 T. Bruns M
7 M. Rashica F
19 M. Mount M
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen F
Bench (9)
14 L. Castaignos
3 M. van der Werff
50 T. Oude Kotte
16 M. van Bergen
21 M. Tørnes
23 M. Ali
24 J. Houwen
29 J. Lelieveld
48 J. Schuurman

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.