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Championship

Referee: Keith Stroud

Bristol City

S T T T U

2–0

Full-time

QPR

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City QPR

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — Championship · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 38%

46%

29%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

57%

54%

Both score Ø 61%

57%

64%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

11 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 7

3 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bristol City 4. · QPR 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	28	19	5	4	+28	62
2	Derby	27	15	7	5	+21	52
3	Cardiff	28	15	6	7	+15	51
4	Bristol City	28	13	9	6	+8	48
5	Sheffield United	28	14	4	10	+10	46
6	Fulham	26	12	8	6	+13	44
7	Aston Villa	25	12	7	6	+15	43
8	Middlesbrough	26	13	4	9	+12	43
9	Brentford	28	11	10	7	+7	43
10	Leeds	28	13	4	11	+7	43
11	Preston	28	10	12	6	+4	42
12	Ipswich	28	12	4	12	+1	40
13	Norwich	28	10	7	11	-5	37
14	Nott'm Forest	28	11	2	15	-8	35
15	Millwall	28	8	10	10	+0	34
16	QPR	28	8	9	11	-9	33
17	Sheffield Weds	28	7	11	10	-4	32
18	Reading	28	7	8	13	-6	29
19	Barnsley	28	6	9	13	-12	27
20	Bolton	28	6	8	14	-20	26
21	Hull	28	5	10	13	-6	25
22	Sunderland	28	5	10	13	-17	25
23	Birmingham	28	6	6	16	-23	24
24	Burton Albion	28	6	6	16	-31	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	14	10	2	2	+16	32
2	Cardiff	14	9	3	2	+16	30
3	Derby	14	8	3	3	+13	27
4	Ipswich	14	8	2	4	+10	26
5	Sheffield United	14	8	2	4	+10	26
6	Aston Villa	12	7	4	1	+13	25
7	Brentford	14	6	7	1	+9	25
8	Millwall	14	7	4	3	+8	25
9	Bristol City	14	7	3	4	+6	24
10	Fulham	13	6	5	2	+10	23
11	Middlesbrough	13	7	2	4	+5	23
12	Leeds	14	6	4	4	+7	22
13	QPR	14	6	4	4	+0	22
14	Preston	14	5	6	3	+3	21
15	Nott'm Forest	14	7	0	7	-1	21
16	Sheffield Weds	14	4	6	4	+0	18
17	Bolton	14	5	3	6	-3	18
18	Hull	14	4	5	5	+7	17
19	Norwich	14	4	5	5	-1	17
20	Birmingham	14	5	2	7	-8	17
21	Barnsley	14	3	5	6	-5	14
22	Reading	14	3	4	7	-4	13
23	Sunderland	14	2	5	7	-7	11
24	Burton Albion	14	2	2	10	-18	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	14	9	3	2	+12	30
2	Derby	13	7	4	2	+8	25
3	Bristol City	14	6	6	2	+2	24
4	Fulham	13	6	3	4	+3	21
5	Preston	14	5	6	3	+1	21
6	Leeds	14	7	0	7	+0	21
7	Cardiff	14	6	3	5	-1	21
8	Middlesbrough	13	6	2	5	+7	20
9	Sheffield United	14	6	2	6	+0	20
10	Norwich	14	6	2	6	-4	20
11	Aston Villa	13	5	3	5	+2	18
12	Brentford	14	5	3	6	-2	18
13	Reading	14	4	4	6	-2	16
14	Burton Albion	14	4	4	6	-13	16
15	Sheffield Weds	14	3	5	6	-4	14
16	Nott'm Forest	14	4	2	8	-7	14
17	Ipswich	14	4	2	8	-9	14
18	Sunderland	14	3	5	6	-10	14
19	Barnsley	14	3	4	7	-7	13
20	QPR	14	2	5	7	-9	11
21	Millwall	14	1	6	7	-8	9
22	Hull	14	1	5	8	-13	8
23	Bolton	14	1	5	8	-17	8
24	Birmingham	14	1	4	9	-15	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.