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Championship
Referee: Stuart Attwell
Middlesbrough
U S S S U
1–2
Full-time
Wolves
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
This season — Championship · 36/38 matches
Win Ø 58%
50%
66%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
53%
Both score Ø 43%
44%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
10 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Middlesbrough 7. · Wolves 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 38 25 7 6 +36 82
2 Cardiff 38 24 7 7 +29 79
3 Fulham 36 19 11 6 +27 68
4 Aston Villa 35 18 8 9 +22 62
5 Bristol City 39 16 14 9 +12 62
6 Derby 35 16 13 6 +22 61
7 Middlesbrough 36 18 7 11 +19 61
8 Millwall 39 16 13 10 +11 61
9 Sheffield United 39 18 7 14 +8 61
10 Preston 39 15 15 9 +8 60
11 Brentford 39 14 13 12 +8 55
12 Leeds 39 15 8 16 -2 53
13 Ipswich 38 15 7 16 -1 52
14 Norwich 39 13 13 13 -5 52
15 QPR 38 12 11 15 -10 47
16 Nott'm Forest 39 13 7 19 -13 46
17 Sheffield Weds 39 10 14 15 -8 44
18 Hull 38 9 12 17 -6 39
19 Bolton 39 9 12 18 -24 39
20 Reading 38 8 12 18 -13 36
21 Barnsley 39 7 13 19 -19 34
22 Birmingham 38 9 6 23 -29 33
23 Burton Albion 39 7 9 23 -42 30
24 Sunderland 38 5 13 20 -30 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough Wolves
Grant Leadbitter 🟨
11′
32′
Hélder Costa 0–1
B. Douglas
37′
Ivan Cavaleiro 0–2
40′
🟨 John Ruddy
Half-time 0–2
54′
🟨 Rúben Neves
54′
🟨 Matt Doherty
56′
🟨 Rúben Neves
56′
🟥 Rúben Neves
58′
🔁 A. N'Diaye
↦ Ivan Cavaleiro
Ryan Shotton 🟨
61′
J. Howson 🔁
↦ G. Leadbitter
63′
63′
🔁 Léo Bonatini
↦ B. Afobe
66′
🟨 Romain Saïss
B. Assombalonga 🔁
↦ A. Clayton
70′
M. Cranie 🔁
↦ R. Shotton
70′
71′
🟨 Matt Doherty
71′
🟥 Matt Doherty
73′
🟨 Ryan Bennett
84′
🔁 M. Gibbs-White
↦ Hélder Costa
Martin Cranie 🟨
90′
1–2 P. Bamford
Adama Traoré
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

4-3-3
25 D. Randolph G
5 R. Shotton D
3 G. Friend D
4 Daniel Ayala D
6 B. Gibson D
19 S. Downing F
7 G. Leadbitter M
8 A. Clayton M
27 M. Bešić M
37 Adama Traoré F
11 P. Bamford F
Bench (7)
16 J. Howson
9 B. Assombalonga
14 M. Cranie
1 D. Konstantopoulos
20 D. Fry
23 J. Harrison
30 L. Baker

Coach: T. Pulis

Wolves

3-4-3
21 J. Ruddy
3 B. Douglas M
5 R. Bennett D
15 W. Boly D
2 M. Doherty M
16 C. Coady D
17 Hélder Costa F
27 R. Saïss M
8 Rúben Neves M
19 B. Afobe F
7 Ivan Cavaleiro F
Bench (7)
4 A. N'Diaye
33 Léo Bonatini
24 M. Gibbs-White
6 D. Batth
29 Rúben Vinagre
30 K. Hause
31 W. Norris

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Stuart Attwell · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.