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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Standard
T S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Charleroi
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,7
1,5
Scored
2,8
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 45%
45%
45%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
65%
35%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Standard 12. · Charleroi 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 20 16 3 1 +28 51
2 Anderlecht 20 13 4 3 +14 43
3 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
4 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
5 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
6 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
7 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
8 Gent 20 10 5 5 +16 35
9 Charleroi 20 9 8 3 +12 35
10 Genk 20 9 8 3 +11 35
11 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
12 Standard 20 9 6 5 +5 33
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Charleroi
Half-time 0–0
65′
🔁 C. Benavente
↦ M. Ilaimaharitra
D. Čop 🔁
↦ P. MPoku
69′
R. Marin 🔁
↦ G. Cimirot
69′
1–0 Edmilson Junior
85′
88′
🔁 M. Fall
↦ G. Zajkov
R. Goreux 🔁
↦ Edmilson Junior
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Standard

1 J. Gillet
15 S. Pocognoli
34 K. Laifis
5 U. Agbo
21 C. Fai
26 C. Luyindama
10 M. Carcela
6 G. Cimirot
22 Edmilson Junior
9 R. Emond
40 P. M'Poku
Bench (7)
7 D. Čop
18 R. Marin
2 R. Goreux
8 G. Ochoa
19 M. Djenepo
24 G. Koutroumbis
25 Carlinhos

Coach: Sá Pinto

Charleroi

35 P. Mandanda
17 S. Marinos
8 Javi Martos
24 D. Dessoleil
6 G. Zajkov
25 Nurio Fortuna
13 C. Diandy
22 G. Hendrickx
26 M. Ilaimaharitra
9 K. Rezaei
99 C. Bedia
Bench (7)
14 C. Benavente
77 M. Fall
29 R. Grange
2 A. D'Alberto
28 E. Sağlık
41 F. N'Ganga
15 V. Baume

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.