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Championship

Referee: James Linington

Wolves

U S S T T

1–3

Full-time

Middlesbrough

S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Middlesbrough

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

This season — Championship · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

58%

42%

Both score Ø 46%

58%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,1

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,4

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

18 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolves 13. · Middlesbrough 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	12	8	4	0	+8	28
2	Burnley	13	7	4	2	+6	25
3	Birmingham	12	7	3	2	+8	24
4	Hull	12	6	4	2	+9	22
5	Reading	13	6	4	3	+8	22
6	Middlesbrough	12	6	3	3	+9	21
7	Derby	12	5	6	1	+7	21
8	Cardiff	12	5	5	2	+4	20
9	Sheffield Weds	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Fulham	13	4	5	4	+3	17
11	QPR	12	4	4	4	-3	16
12	Ipswich	12	4	4	4	-5	16
13	Wolves	12	4	3	5	+0	15
14	Huddersfield	12	3	5	4	-2	14
15	Brentford	12	4	2	6	-4	14
16	Nott'm Forest	12	3	4	5	-3	13
17	Blackburn	13	2	6	5	-2	12
18	Leeds	12	2	6	4	-5	12
19	Preston	12	2	5	5	-3	11
20	Milton Keynes Dons	12	3	2	7	-4	11
21	Bristol City	12	2	4	6	-7	10
22	Charlton	12	2	4	6	-7	10
23	Rotherham	13	2	3	8	-9	9
24	Bolton	12	1	5	6	-10	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	6	5	1	0	+5	16
2	Hull	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Middlesbrough	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Burnley	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Cardiff	6	4	1	1	+4	13
6	Reading	6	3	2	1	+6	11
7	Fulham	7	3	2	2	+3	11
8	Sheffield Weds	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Birmingham	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Huddersfield	6	2	3	1	+4	9
11	Derby	6	2	3	1	+3	9
12	Blackburn	7	2	3	2	+3	9
13	QPR	6	2	3	1	+2	9
14	Ipswich	6	2	3	1	+2	9
15	Wolves	6	2	2	2	+1	8
16	Charlton	6	2	2	2	-1	8
17	Bolton	6	1	4	1	+0	7
18	Brentford	6	2	1	3	-3	7
19	Milton Keynes Dons	6	2	0	4	-2	6
20	Nott'm Forest	6	1	2	3	-2	5
21	Bristol City	6	1	2	3	-3	5
22	Rotherham	7	1	2	4	-6	5
23	Preston	6	0	4	2	-2	4
24	Leeds	6	0	3	3	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Birmingham	6	4	2	0	+7	14
2	Derby	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Brighton	6	3	3	0	+3	12
4	Burnley	7	3	3	1	+1	12
5	Reading	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Sheffield Weds	7	2	3	2	-1	9
7	Leeds	6	2	3	1	-1	9
8	Hull	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Middlesbrough	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Nott'm Forest	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Cardiff	6	1	4	1	+0	7
12	Wolves	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Brentford	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	Preston	6	2	1	3	-1	7
15	QPR	6	2	1	3	-5	7
16	Ipswich	6	2	1	3	-7	7
17	Fulham	6	1	3	2	+0	6
18	Milton Keynes Dons	6	1	2	3	-2	5
19	Bristol City	6	1	2	3	-4	5
20	Huddersfield	6	1	2	3	-6	5
21	Rotherham	6	1	1	4	-3	4
22	Blackburn	6	0	3	3	-5	3
23	Charlton	6	0	2	4	-6	2
24	Bolton	6	0	1	5	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.