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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Leganes
S U U T T
0–0
Full-time
Celta
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 28%
29%
26%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
32%
56%
Both score Ø 56%
47%
65%
Average goals
2,1
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 12. · Celta 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 34 24 8 2 +53 80
2 Ath Madrid 35 22 8 5 +29 74
3 Real Madrid 34 20 5 9 +21 65
4 Sevilla 34 16 7 11 +17 55
5 Getafe 34 14 13 7 +14 55
6 Valencia 34 12 16 6 +9 52
7 Ath Bilbao 35 12 14 9 -3 50
8 Alaves 35 12 11 12 -9 47
9 Espanol 34 11 10 13 -9 43
10 Betis 34 12 7 15 -10 43
11 Sociedad 34 10 11 13 -3 41
12 Leganes 34 10 11 13 -6 41
13 Eibar 34 9 13 12 -5 40
14 Villarreal 34 9 12 13 -3 39
15 Levante 34 9 10 15 -10 37
16 Celta 34 9 9 16 -9 36
17 Valladolid 35 8 11 16 -19 35
18 Girona 34 8 10 16 -13 34
19 Huesca 34 6 11 17 -18 29
20 Vallecano 34 7 7 20 -26 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Celta
Recio 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
69′
🔁 R. Boudebouz
↦ S. Boufal
G. Carrillo 🔁
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
72′
Michael Santos 🔁
↦ M. Braithwaite
74′
76′
🔁 Brais Méndez
↦ A. Hjulsager
N. El Zhar 🔁
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
84′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Leganes

3-1-4-2
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
22 D. Siovas D
12 A. Nyom D
24 K. Omeruo D
5 J. Silva D
3 Bustinza D
8 Recio M
23 Mikel Vesga M
27 Óscar Rodríguez M
25 M. Braithwaite F
26 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (7)
9 G. Carrillo
20 Michael Santos
10 N. El Zhar
2 Juanfran
15 Rodri Tarín
6 Gerard Gumbau
29 A. Lunin

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Celta

4-4-2
13 Rubén Blanco G
22 G. Cabral D
2 Hugo Mallo D
4 N. Araújo D
15 L. Olaza D
21 Jozabed M
16 A. Hjulsager M
14 S. Lobotka M
19 S. Boufal M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
24 R. Boudebouz
23 Brais Méndez
1 Sergio Álvarez
11 P. Sisto
18 M. Jensen
3 David Costas
8 Fran Beltrán

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.