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Bundesliga

Referee: Felix Zwayer

Mainz

U S U S S

0–0

Full-time

Stuttgart

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Stuttgart

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,3

2,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,7

This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 34%

47%

20%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

67%

73%

Both score Ø 60%

53%

67%

Average goals

2,9

3,7

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,4

2,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

6 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

5 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 7. · Stuttgart 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	13	1	1	+35	40
2	Dortmund	15	11	2	2	+22	35
3	M'gladbach	15	8	2	5	+8	26
4	Hertha	15	8	2	5	+2	26
5	Wolfsburg	15	7	4	4	+7	25
6	Schalke 04	15	7	3	5	+0	24
7	Mainz	15	7	2	6	+2	23
8	Leverkusen	15	6	3	6	-1	21
9	Hamburg	15	6	3	6	-3	21
10	FC Koln	15	5	5	5	-4	20
11	FC Ingolstadt 04	15	5	5	5	-4	20
12	Darmstadt	15	4	6	5	-4	18
13	Ein Frankfurt	15	3	5	7	-5	14
14	Hannover	15	4	2	9	-9	14
15	Werder Bremen	15	4	2	9	-14	14
16	Augsburg	15	3	4	8	-7	13
17	Stuttgart	15	3	2	10	-17	11
18	Hoffenheim	15	1	7	7	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	8	0	0	+27	24
2	Dortmund	7	6	1	0	+17	19
3	Wolfsburg	8	6	1	1	+14	19
4	M'gladbach	8	5	1	2	+5	16
5	Hertha	7	5	1	1	+5	16
6	Schalke 04	8	4	2	2	+1	14
7	Mainz	8	4	0	4	+0	12
8	Leverkusen	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	FC Koln	8	2	4	2	+0	10
10	Hamburg	7	2	2	3	-1	8
11	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Darmstadt	8	1	4	3	-4	7
13	Stuttgart	8	2	1	5	-9	7
14	Hannover	7	2	0	5	-3	6
15	Ein Frankfurt	7	1	3	3	-3	6
16	Augsburg	8	1	2	5	-5	5
17	Hoffenheim	7	0	4	3	-4	4
18	Werder Bremen	7	1	0	6	-11	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Dortmund	8	5	1	2	+5	16
3	Hamburg	8	4	1	3	-2	13
4	FC Ingolstadt 04	8	3	3	2	-2	12
5	Mainz	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Darmstadt	7	3	2	2	+0	11
7	Werder Bremen	8	3	2	3	-3	11
8	M'gladbach	7	3	1	3	+3	10
9	Schalke 04	7	3	1	3	-1	10
10	Leverkusen	8	3	1	4	-2	10
11	Hertha	8	3	1	4	-3	10
12	FC Koln	7	3	1	3	-4	10
13	Augsburg	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Ein Frankfurt	8	2	2	4	-2	8
15	Hannover	8	2	2	4	-6	8
16	Hoffenheim	8	1	3	4	-4	6
17	Wolfsburg	7	1	3	3	-7	6
18	Stuttgart	7	1	1	5	-8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.