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Bundesliga
Referee: Sascha Stegemann
Stuttgart
U S T S T
0–4
Full-time
Augsburg
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 17%
25%
8%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
2,3
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 16. · Augsburg 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 12 11 1 0 +33 34
2 Dortmund 13 9 2 2 +18 29
3 Wolfsburg 13 7 3 3 +8 24
4 M'gladbach 13 7 1 5 +6 22
5 Hertha 12 6 2 4 +2 20
6 Leverkusen 13 6 2 5 +0 20
7 Schalke 04 12 6 2 4 +0 20
8 FC Koln 13 5 4 4 -3 19
9 Hamburg 13 5 3 5 -3 18
10 Mainz 13 5 2 6 -1 17
11 FC Ingolstadt 04 12 4 4 4 -2 16
12 Ein Frankfurt 13 3 5 5 -3 14
13 Darmstadt 12 3 5 4 -3 14
14 Werder Bremen 13 4 1 8 -12 13
15 Hannover 13 3 2 8 -11 11
16 Stuttgart 12 3 1 8 -10 10
17 Hoffenheim 12 1 5 6 -7 8
18 Augsburg 12 1 3 8 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Augsburg
11′
A. Esswein 0–1
R. Bobadilla
17′
T. Baumgartl 1–1
own goal
J. Kliment 🔁
↦ T. Šunjić
27′
36′
J. Callsen-Bracker 1–2
D. Baier
38′
🟨 Ja-Cheol Koo
Half-time 1–3
54′
Ja-Cheol Koo 1–3
R. Bobadilla
Serey Dié 🟨
57′
L. Rupp 🔁
↦ S. Dié
60′
61′
🔁 Dong-Won Ji
↦ R. Bobadilla
Jan Kliment 🟨
68′
74′
🔁 J. Morávek
↦ Ja-Cheol Koo
84′
🔁 Halil Altıntop
↦ D. Kohr
P. Heise 🔁
↦ F. Kostić
87′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Stuttgart

17 O. Vlachodimos G
16 F. Klein D
2 E. Insúa D
3 D. Schwaab D
4 T. Šunjić D
5 T. Baumgartl D
20 C. Gentner M
26 S. Dié M
10 D. Didavi M
18 F. Kostić M
19 T. Werner F
Bench (7)
39 J. Kliment
8 L. Rupp
14 P. Heise
21 A. Hloušek
31 A. Ferati
32 B. Uphoff
44 A. Maxim

Augsburg

35 M. Hitz G
18 J. Callsen-Bracker D
2 P. Verhaegh D
5 R. Klavan D
31 P. Max D
10 D. Baier M
30 Caiuby M
11 A. Esswein M
19 Ja-Cheol Koo M
21 D. Kohr M
25 R. Bobadilla F
Bench (7)
22 Dong-Won Ji
14 J. Morávek
7 Halil Altıntop
1 A. Manninger
4 D. Opare
16 C. Janker
23 T. Matavž

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sascha Stegemann · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.